Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 9
Santa Fe
vs
Fortaleza FC
2 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | F. Fagundez | ||
| 23′ | A. Copete | ||
| 34′ | Joan Cajares | ||
| 46′ | A. BatiojaJ. Salas | ||
| 54′ | E. CabezasJ. Medina Obando | ||
| 54′ | J. SinisterraI. Montano | ||
| 57′ | J. TorresD. Torres | ||
| 57′ | F. FagundezH. Rodallega | ||
| 57′ | E. RodriguezM. Lovera | ||
| 66′ | Andres Copete | ||
| 69′ | Daniel Torres | ||
| 71′ | V. MorenoE. Olivera | ||
| 75′ | J. BlancoF. Pulicastro | ||
| 77′ | N. Bustos | ||
| 79′ | S. NavarroJ. Garcia | ||
| 84′ | Leonardo Pico | ||
| 87′ | L. PalaciosJ. Obrian | ||
| 90′ | J. Garcia |
Santa Fe
59%
Draw
26%
Fortaleza FC
16%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 5 |
| 337 | Accurate passes | 344 |
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC
| Probability | Santa Fe | Draw | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.1% | 25.6% | 12.3% |
| Market | 57.4% | 25.6% | 17.0% |
| Final | 58.5% | 25.6% | 15.8% |
| Edge | +4.7% | +0.0% | -4.7% |
Why Santa Fe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.62.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Santa Fe below the model: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Santa Fe and Fortaleza FC expected goals
Santa Fe
1.68
Fortaleza FC
0.62
Total expected goals: 2.30
Santa Fe and Fortaleza FC attack and defence ratings
Santa Fe
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.74 -26%
Fortaleza FC
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
1.02 +2%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC: result vs prediction
Santa Fe 2 – 2 Fortaleza FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 9 fixtures
- America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Chico v Once Caldas — match page
- Cucuta v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Junior vs Jaguares — team news & stats
- Internacional de Bogota vs Águilas Doradas
- Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin
- Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima — match page
Before and after this match
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 58.5% | 1.71 | +4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Santa Fe | 58.5% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Fortaleza FC | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.6% |
| No | 61.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Santa Fe win | 35.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.2% | |
| Loss | 37.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.8% |
| 2-0 | 14.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC stats
Santa Fe and Fortaleza FC recent form
| Santa Fe |
WDDDDW |
| Fortaleza FC |
LDLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Santa Fe and Fortaleza FC going into this match
Santa Fe record
- They have won 10 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
6Santa Fe wins
2Draws
1Fortaleza FC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Fortaleza FC | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-03 | Fortaleza FC | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-22 | Santa Fe | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 3-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Fortaleza FC | Santa Fe | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-09 | Santa Fe | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-22 | Fortaleza FC | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-3 |
| 2024-03-09 | Santa Fe | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2016-10-29 | Fortaleza FC | Santa Fe | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2016-05-14 | Santa Fe | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.4%, draw 25.6%, away 17.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.63 | 3.64 | 5.39 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.60 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.60 | 3.70 | 5.25 |
| Marathonbet | 1.61 | 3.64 | 5.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.64 | 3.73 | 5.74 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.50 |