Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 9
Junior
vs
Jaguares
3 – 3 Full time
| 6′ | Y. Suarez | ||
| 10′ | Jopito | ||
| 24′ | K. PerezB. Castrillon | ||
| 30′ | Yeison Abelardo Suarez Vasquez | ||
| 40′ | Jerson Malagon | ||
| 43′ | Juan David Ríos | ||
| 45′ | Carlos Henao | ||
| 46′ | L. MurielT. Gutierrez | ||
| 46′ | J. MalagonJ. Lovera | ||
| 46′ | W. De La RosaS. Cubides | ||
| 62′ | T. Gutierrez | ||
| 65′ | J. RiosG. Celis | ||
| 65′ | G. PaivaF. Fydriszewski | ||
| 66′ | Mario Sebastián Viera Galain | ||
| 67′ | Teófilo Gutiérrez | ||
| 69′ | JopitoJ. Beltran | ||
| 73′ | J. MejiaD. Lopez | ||
| 78′ | R. Bustamante | ||
| 80′ | D. Lopez | ||
| 84′ | D. SocarrasE. Herrera | ||
| 84′ | R. BustamanteJ. Hinestroza | ||
| 90′ | Royscer Rafael Colpa Bolano | ||
| 90′ | Jesús Rivas | ||
| 90′ | J. Rivas |
Junior
64%
Draw
22%
Jaguares
14%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 283 | Accurate passes | 203 |
Junior vs Jaguares overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Junior vs Jaguares
| Probability | Junior | Draw | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.7% | 26.5% | 23.8% |
| Market | 68.1% | 21.1% | 10.8% |
| Final | 63.5% | 22.4% | 14.1% |
| Edge | -18.4% | +5.4% | +12.9% |
Why Junior
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.10.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
52%
No goals
7%
Junior and Jaguares expected goals
Junior
1.68
Jaguares
1.10
Total expected goals: 2.78
Junior and Jaguares attack and defence ratings
Junior
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.25 +25%
Jaguares
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Junior vs Jaguares: result vs prediction
Junior 3 – 3 Jaguares
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 9 fixtures
- America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Chico v Once Caldas — match page
- Cucuta v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC
- Internacional de Bogota vs Águilas Doradas
- Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin
- Atletico Nacional v Deportes Tolima — match page
Before and after this match
Junior vs Jaguares markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 63.5% | 1.57 | -18.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 63.5% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Jaguares | 14.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.4% |
| No | 44.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Junior win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 50.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.3% |
Junior vs Jaguares stats
Junior and Jaguares recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Junior and Jaguares going into this match
Junior record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jaguares record
- They have won 6 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Junior vs Jaguares head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Junior wins
3Draws
1Jaguares wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Jaguares | Junior | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-29 | Jaguares | Junior | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-16 | Junior | Jaguares | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2023-09-29 | Jaguares | Junior | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-23 | Junior | Jaguares | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Jaguares | Junior | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2022-05-14 | Junior | Jaguares | Primera A | 2-4 |
| 2021-10-18 | Junior | Jaguares | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2021-08-15 | Jaguares | Junior | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2021-03-31 | Jaguares | Junior | Primera A | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Junior vs Jaguares odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 68.0%, draw 21.1%, away 10.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.38 | 4.30 | 8.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.37 | 4.40 | 8.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.33 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.40 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.39 | 4.20 | 8.75 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.60 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.38 | 4.60 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.36 | 4.40 | 8.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.35 | 4.64 | 9.63 |
| SBO | 1.34 | 3.85 | 6.09 |
| Unibet | 1.37 | 4.70 | 8.50 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.20 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.36 ▼ -0.01
X
4.40 ▼ -0.20
2
8.55 ▲ +0.55
11 snapshots recorded, from .