Garuda Lions
Today
Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior

1 – 0 Full time

4′Ever Meza
18′Ever MezaWiston Fernández
26′Israel Alba
45′Edgar Pardo
45′Jesús RivasHarold Rivera
45′Guillermo PaivaFrancisco Fydriszewski
47′Juan David Ríos
50′Francisco Fydriszewski
57′Cristian Andrés Vergara Rivas
63′Cristian BarriosDéiber Caicedo
63′Jannenson SarmientoTeófilo Gutiérrez
71′J. Lasso
73′Jesús MuñozJosy Pérez
73′Edgar PardoCharly Villegas González
79′Edwin HerreraJosé David Munive Manotas
80′José David Munive Manotas
80′Daniel Rivera
81′Deinner QuiñonesKevin Moreno
81′Cristian Andrés Vergara RivasMisael Martinez
90′Misael Martinez

Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, ValleduparReferee: Steven Camargo

Alianza Valledupar 30%
Draw 28%
Junior 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 5
28 Possession % 72
4 Corners 6
14 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0
5 Saves 3
118 Accurate passes 394

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alianza Valledupar vs Junior

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlianza ValleduparDrawJunior
Model31.5%26.9%41.6%
Market29.7%28.5%41.8%
Final30.2%28.1%41.7%
Edge+1.8%-1.6%-0.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alianza Valled ↓ / Junior → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 7% 7% 1 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Alianza Valledupar and Junior expected goals

Alianza Valledupar 1.33
Junior 1.56

Total expected goals: 2.89

Alianza Valledupar and Junior attack and defence ratings

Alianza Valledupar

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Junior

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior: result vs prediction

Alianza Valledupar 1 – 0 Junior

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Junior 41.7% 2.40 -0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.3% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.4% 1.68 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.9% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alianza Valledupar30.2%
Draw28.1%
Junior41.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.3%
Under 2.544.7%
Both teams to scoreYes59.4%
No40.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.3%
12 (either side)71.9%
X2 (draw or away)69.8%
Handicap -1Junior win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.7%
1-29.0%
2-17.7%

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior stats

Alianza Valledupar and Junior recent form

newest first
Alianza Valledupar LLLDLL
Junior DDLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Alianza Valledupar and Junior going into this match

league record before kick-off

Alianza Valledupar record

  • They have won 3 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Junior record

  • They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
  • 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Alianza Valledupar wins 3Draws 7Junior wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-06JuniorAlianza ValleduparPrimera A1-1
2025-10-12Alianza ValleduparJuniorPrimera A0-1
2025-04-19JuniorAlianza ValleduparPrimera A2-0
2024-08-04JuniorAlianza ValleduparPrimera A2-2
2024-02-05Alianza ValleduparJuniorPrimera A0-1
2023-09-15Alianza ValleduparJuniorPrimera A1-5
2023-04-04JuniorAlianza ValleduparPrimera A1-0
2022-09-26Alianza ValleduparJuniorPrimera A0-1
2022-04-03JuniorAlianza ValleduparPrimera A3-1
2021-11-21Alianza ValleduparJuniorPrimera A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 29.9%, draw 28.5%, away 41.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.25 2.28
1xBet 3.12 3.32 2.22
888Sport 2.90 3.25 2.25
Bet365 3.30 3.20 2.25
BetVictor 3.13 3.20 2.20
Betano 3.15 3.15 2.30
Betfair 3.00 3.30 2.30
Dafabet 3.10 3.25 2.22
Marathonbet 3.10 3.32 2.20
Pinnacle 3.14 3.47 2.24
SBO 2.82 3.00 2.16
Superbet 3.25 3.25 2.20
Unibet 2.95 3.30 2.38
William Hill 3.00 3.25 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.12 ▲ +0.24
X 3.25 ▲ +0.09
2 2.22 ▼ -0.18

10 snapshots recorded, from .