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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 10

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga

1 – 3 Full time

5′Luciano Pons
28′Yuber Quiñones
33′Emerson Batalla
45′Martín Rea
45′Santiago Andres Aguilar MurilloSebastian Acosta
45′Martín ReaAldair Gutiérrez
66′Leonardo FloresEdwin Castro
70′Jordy MonroyAnderson Plata
71′Ederson MorenoMarco Pérez
78′Walmer Pacheco
81′Luciano PonsBrandon·Caicedo
81′Fabián SambuezaKevin Londoño
82′Jhon LargachaJhon Alexander Montoya
90′Emerson BatallaFredy Salazar
90′Fredy Salazar
90′Felix Charrupi

Estadio Hernan Ramirez Villegas, PereiraReferee: Andres Rojas

Deportivo Pereira 19%
Draw 27%
Bucaramanga 55%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
55 Possession % 45
4 Corners 2
18 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
392 Accurate passes 319

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo PereiraDrawBucaramanga
Model30.2%35.0%34.8%
Market14.9%23.8%61.3%
Final18.8%26.6%54.7%
Edge+15.3%+11.2%-26.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Bucaramanga

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Pere ↓ / Bucaramanga → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 14% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 57%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Deportivo Pereira and Bucaramanga expected goals

Deportivo Pereira 0.88
Bucaramanga 0.97

Total expected goals: 1.85

Deportivo Pereira and Bucaramanga attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Pereira

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Bucaramanga

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga: result vs prediction

Deportivo Pereira 1 – 3 Bucaramanga

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 10 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bucaramanga 54.7% 1.83 -26.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 71.7% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score No 62.3% 1.61 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.2% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.2% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Pereira18.8%
Draw26.6%
Bucaramanga54.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.528.3%
Under 2.571.7%
Both teams to scoreYes37.7%
No62.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)45.3%
12 (either side)73.4%
X2 (draw or away)81.2%
Handicap -1Bucaramanga win13.5%
Push (exactly one goal)21.4%
Loss65.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.0%
1-114.8%
0-113.9%

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga stats

Deportivo Pereira and Bucaramanga recent form

newest first
Deportivo Pereira DLWDDL
Bucaramanga DDWDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Pereira and Bucaramanga going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Pereira record

  • They have won 2 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bucaramanga record

  • They have won 7 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 25 matches.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Deportivo Pereira wins 3Draws 4Bucaramanga wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-10BucaramangaDeportivo PereiraPrimera A3-0
2025-08-30Deportivo PereiraBucaramangaPrimera A0-1
2025-03-14BucaramangaDeportivo PereiraPrimera A0-1
2024-10-13BucaramangaDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-1
2024-06-02BucaramangaDeportivo PereiraPrimera A3-1
2024-05-04Deportivo PereiraBucaramangaPrimera A1-0
2024-03-31Deportivo PereiraBucaramangaPrimera A1-2
2023-09-18BucaramangaDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-1
2023-04-09Deportivo PereiraBucaramangaPrimera A1-1
2022-10-30BucaramangaDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 15.7%, draw 24.5%, away 59.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.30 3.40 1.84
1xBet 5.94 3.98 1.53
888Sport 4.00 3.25 1.85
Bet365 6.50 3.80 1.53
BetVictor 6.50 3.75 1.50
Betano 6.50 4.10 1.60
Betfair 6.50 3.90 1.50
Dafabet 4.10 3.30 1.87
Marathonbet 6.05 3.98 1.51
Pinnacle 5.94 4.15 1.56
Unibet 4.50 3.30 1.87
William Hill 5.50 3.80 1.55

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.28 ▲ +1.88
X 3.94 ▲ +0.64
2 1.53 ▼ -0.32

12 snapshots recorded, from .