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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira

2 – 2 Full time

17′Jorge Bermúdez
22′Fabián Suárez
39′Sebastián Urrea Arbeláez
45′Eduar Arley Arízalas TenorioJhon Meléndez
50′Jhon Meléndez
53′Danilo Ortiz
54′Sebastian Acosta
64′Sebastian AcostaMarco Pérez
67′Javier Alexander Mena
67′Walmer Pacheco
68′Frank Lozano
69′Jhon Largacha
71′Anthony Vásquez
72′Nicolás Lara VásquezJunior Noguera
72′Fabián SuárezIván Rojas
78′Jordy MonroyAnderson Plata
82′Juan Esteban·Avalo TrejosMatías Ramírez
85′Anderson Plata
87′Jorge BermúdezJhon Alexander Montoya
87′Jhon LargachaMiguel Ángel Aguirre
90′Danilo Ortiz

Estadio Alberto Grisales, RionegroReferee: Diaz Vargas, Carlos Alberto

Águilas Doradas 65%
Draw 22%
Deportivo Pereira 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 7
55 Possession % 45
7 Corners 5
8 Fouls 12
5 Saves 4
214 Accurate passes 145

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÁguilas DoradasDrawDeportivo Pereira
Model56.4%26.8%16.8%
Market68.0%20.6%11.4%
Final65.1%22.1%12.8%
Edge-11.6%+6.2%+5.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Águilas Doradas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 0.79.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Águilas Dorada ↓ / Deportivo Pere → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 13% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 71%
3+ goals 44%
No goals 10%

Águilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira expected goals

Águilas Doradas 1.64
Deportivo Pereira 0.79

Total expected goals: 2.43

Águilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira attack and defence ratings

Águilas Doradas

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Deportivo Pereira

Attack 0.63 -37%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira: result vs prediction

Águilas Doradas 2 – 2 Deportivo Pereira

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Águilas Doradas 65.1% 1.54 -11.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.3% 1.78 — —
Both teams to score No 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.2% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.6% 2.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Águilas Doradas65.1%
Draw22.1%
Deportivo Pereira12.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.7%
Under 2.556.3%
Both teams to scoreYes45.1%
No54.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.2%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)34.9%
Handicap -1Águilas Doradas win31.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.9%
Loss43.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.3%
1-112.6%
2-011.8%

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira stats

Águilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira recent form

newest first
Águilas Doradas LDDDDW
Deportivo Pereira LDLWDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Águilas Doradas and Deportivo Pereira going into this match

league record before kick-off

Águilas Doradas record

  • They have won 9 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Deportivo Pereira record

  • They have won 2 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Águilas Doradas wins 5Draws 1Deportivo Pereira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-21Águilas DoradasDeportivo PereiraCopa Colombia1-1
2026-03-15Deportivo PereiraÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-1
2025-10-25Deportivo PereiraÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-5
2025-05-05Águilas DoradasDeportivo PereiraPrimera A3-3
2024-09-27Águilas DoradasDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-1
2024-03-18Deportivo PereiraÁguilas DoradasPrimera A2-1
2023-10-12Deportivo PereiraÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-0
2023-03-12Águilas DoradasDeportivo PereiraPrimera A2-1
2022-09-20Deportivo PereiraÁguilas DoradasPrimera A2-2
2022-04-15Deportivo PereiraÁguilas DoradasCopa Colombia1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 68.0%, draw 20.6%, away 11.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.36 4.50 8.15
Bet365 1.40 4.33 8.50
BetVictor 1.36 4.40 8.00
Betano 1.42 4.75 8.75
Betfair 1.36 4.50 8.50
Marathonbet 1.35 4.50 8.10
Pinnacle 1.41 4.70 7.68
SBO 1.36 3.94 6.47
William Hill 1.36 4.33 7.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.36 —
X 4.50 ▼ -0.15
2 8.10 —

9 snapshots recorded, from .