Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Millonarios vs Chico

3 – 0 Full time

13′Juan Diaz
22′Rodrigo ContrerasAndrey Estupinan
23′Cristian Blanco
29′Francisco Chaverra
44′Javier Burrai
45′Julian AnguloDavid Silva
45′Sebastián Viveros LopezYesus Cabrera
55′Jacobo PimentelSander Navarro
65′Cristián MosqueraFelipe Cifuentes
71′Andrey Estupinan
79′Carlos SarabiaStiven Vega
87′Daniel Felipe Ruiz RiveraYeiner Matias Romero Pino
87′Sebastián Viveros del CastilloAndrés Llinás
90′E. Sarria
90′Andrey Estupinan

Estadio El Campin, BogotaReferee: Jhon Ospina

Millonarios 73%
Draw 18%
Chico 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

24 Shots 6
12 Shots on target 3
58 Possession % 42
6 Corners 6
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
3 Saves 8
357 Accurate passes 238

Millonarios vs Chico overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Millonarios vs Chico

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMillonariosDrawChico
Model65.2%22.5%12.3%
Market75.2%17.1%7.7%
Final72.7%18.5%8.8%
Edge-10.0%+5.4%+4.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Millonarios

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.97 vs 0.74.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Millonarios ↓ / Chico → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 11% 2 13% 10% 3 8% 4+ 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Millonarios and Chico expected goals

Millonarios 1.97
Chico 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.71

Millonarios and Chico attack and defence ratings

Millonarios

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Chico

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Millonarios vs Chico: result vs prediction

Millonarios 3 – 0 Chico

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Millonarios vs Chico markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Millonarios 72.7% 1.38 -10.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.0% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score No 53.9% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.2% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Millonarios win 40.9% 2.44 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Millonarios72.7%
Draw18.5%
Chico8.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.0%
Under 2.549.0%
Both teams to scoreYes46.1%
No53.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.2%
12 (either side)81.5%
X2 (draw or away)27.3%
Handicap -1Millonarios win40.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss34.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-012.9%
1-012.1%
1-110.7%

Millonarios vs Chico stats

Millonarios and Chico recent form

newest first
Millonarios WDDLDW
Chico LWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Millonarios and Chico going into this match

league record before kick-off

Millonarios record

  • They have won 11 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chico record

  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 27 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Millonarios vs Chico head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Millonarios wins 3Draws 2Chico wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23MillonariosChicoCopa Colombia2-2
2026-03-14ChicoMillonariosPrimera A2-1
2025-11-13ChicoMillonariosPrimera A1-2
2025-05-25MillonariosChicoPrimera A4-2
2024-11-15ChicoMillonariosPrimera A1-5
2024-04-28MillonariosChicoPrimera A3-0
2023-10-26MillonariosChicoPrimera A1-1
2023-06-11ChicoMillonariosPrimera A2-1
2023-05-28MillonariosChicoPrimera A1-0
2023-05-14ChicoMillonariosPrimera A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Millonarios vs Chico odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 74.6%, draw 17.3%, away 8.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.23 5.40 12.20
Bet365 1.27 6.25 9.00
BetVictor 1.22 5.50 12.00
Betano 1.31 5.70 11.50
Betfair 1.25 5.00 11.00
Marathonbet 1.22 5.40 12.25
Pinnacle 1.26 5.70 12.36
SBO 1.24 4.53 7.53
William Hill 1.25 5.00 11.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.24 ▲ +0.06
X 5.45 ▼ -0.35
2 12.10 ▼ -3.40

10 snapshots recorded, from .