Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto

3 – 0 Full time

55′Derik OsedeJonathan Perlaza
59′Jacobo PimentelYesus Cabrera
68′Yesus Cabrera
70′E. Sarria
72′Diego Gabriel ChavezYeiler Goez
72′Franco LeysMatias Pisano
73′E. Sarria
76′E. SarriaDelio Ramírez
84′Santiago CordobaEder Daniel Gómez De La Rosa
84′Joider MicoltaYeison Tolosa
86′A. Maya
90′S. MeraJeronimo Pimentel Betancourt
90′A. MayaFelipe Cifuentes

Estadio La Independencia, TunjaReferee: Javier Alonso Villa Zapata

Chico 36%
Draw 30%
Deportivo Pasto 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 3
44 Possession % 56
0 Corners 4
18 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
227 Accurate passes 300

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chico vs Deportivo Pasto

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChicoDrawDeportivo Pasto
Model37.1%29.4%33.5%
Market36.2%30.8%33.0%
Final36.4%30.5%33.1%
Edge+0.9%-1.3%+0.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chico ↓ / Deportivo Past → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 9% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 46%
No goals 9%

Chico and Deportivo Pasto expected goals

Chico 1.30
Deportivo Pasto 1.22

Total expected goals: 2.51

Chico and Deportivo Pasto attack and defence ratings

Chico

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Deportivo Pasto

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto: result vs prediction

Chico 3 – 0 Deportivo Pasto

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chico 36.4% 2.74 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.0% 1.85 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.5% 1.44 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.9% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chico36.4%
Draw30.5%
Deportivo Pasto33.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.0%
Under 2.554.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.4%
No47.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.9%
12 (either side)69.5%
X2 (draw or away)63.6%
Handicap -1Chico win17.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.0%
Loss62.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.1%
0-09.4%
1-09.2%

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto stats

Chico and Deportivo Pasto recent form

newest first
Chico LLWWDD
Deportivo Pasto WWDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chico and Deportivo Pasto going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chico record

  • They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 28 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pasto record

  • They have won 12 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Chico wins 5Draws 4Deportivo Pasto wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-18Deportivo PastoChicoPrimera A2-0
2025-09-05Deportivo PastoChicoPrimera A2-0
2025-07-26ChicoDeportivo PastoPrimera A2-2
2025-03-22ChicoDeportivo PastoPrimera A0-0
2025-02-12Deportivo PastoChicoPrimera A3-0
2024-09-22ChicoDeportivo PastoPrimera A1-0
2024-03-09Deportivo PastoChicoPrimera A2-1
2023-08-20Deportivo PastoChicoPrimera A1-1
2023-02-27ChicoDeportivo PastoPrimera A1-1
2021-04-04ChicoDeportivo PastoPrimera A0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chico vs Deportivo Pasto odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 30.7%, away 32.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.53 2.99 2.80
Bet365 2.60 3.00 2.90
BetVictor 2.55 3.00 2.80
Betano 2.60 3.00 2.87
Betfair 2.50 3.00 2.80
Marathonbet 2.53 2.99 2.80
Pinnacle 2.63 3.10 2.91
SBO 2.40 2.80 2.65
William Hill 2.50 2.90 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.55 ▲ +0.09
X 3.00 —
2 2.80 ▼ -0.15

11 snapshots recorded, from .