Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 13

Deportes Tolima vs Chico

0 – 0 Full time

9′Shean Barbosa
45′Jacobo Pimentel
55′Cristian BlancoDelio Ramírez
56′Luis SanchezSergio Aguayo
68′Sebastian GuzmanSantiago Joven Jiménez
68′Jorge HurtadoKelvin Flórez
69′Jacobo Pimentelsebastian viveros
69′Alejandro MayaFelipe Cifuentes
73′Ever Valencia
78′Brayan RoviraJader Valencia
78′Ever ValenciaVictor Manuel Reyes Clavijo
83′S. MeraDaniel Polanco

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, IwagReferee: Andres Rojas

Deportes Tolima 66%
Draw 21%
Chico 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 1
6 Shots on target 1
75 Possession % 25
10 Corners 0
17 Fouls 8
6 Offsides 3
1 Saves 6
510 Accurate passes 112

Deportes Tolima vs Chico overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Chico

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportes TolimaDrawChico
Model52.5%26.2%21.3%
Market70.7%19.5%9.8%
Final66.2%21.2%12.6%
Edge-18.2%+6.6%+11.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportes Tolima

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.02.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportes Tolim ↓ / Chico → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 10% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Deportes Tolima and Chico expected goals

Deportes Tolima 1.72
Chico 1.02

Total expected goals: 2.74

Deportes Tolima and Chico attack and defence ratings

Deportes Tolima

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Chico

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportes Tolima vs Chico: result vs prediction

Deportes Tolima 0 – 0 Chico

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 13 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportes Tolima vs Chico markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportes Tolima 66.2% 1.51 -18.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 53.6% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.4% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.4% 2.11 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportes Tolima66.2%
Draw21.2%
Chico12.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%
Both teams to scoreYes53.6%
No46.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.4%
12 (either side)78.8%
X2 (draw or away)33.8%
Handicap -1Deportes Tolima win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.0%
Loss47.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.5%
1-010.0%
2-19.7%

Deportes Tolima vs Chico stats

Deportes Tolima and Chico recent form

newest first
Deportes Tolima DDLLWW
Chico WLLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportes Tolima and Chico going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportes Tolima record

  • They have won 15 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
  • They have converted 7 of 9 penalties (78%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Chico record

  • They have won 8 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 16 of 29 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportes Tolima vs Chico head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Deportes Tolima wins 2Draws 3Chico wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-23ChicoDeportes TolimaPrimera A1-1
2025-09-15Deportes TolimaChicoPrimera A4-0
2025-04-02ChicoDeportes TolimaPrimera A1-4
2024-09-15Deportes TolimaChicoPrimera A2-1
2024-03-01ChicoDeportes TolimaPrimera A1-1
2023-09-30Deportes TolimaChicoPrimera A2-0
2023-04-24ChicoDeportes TolimaPrimera A2-0
2021-03-08ChicoDeportes TolimaPrimera A2-1
2020-11-07Deportes TolimaChicoPrimera A2-0
2018-09-08ChicoDeportes TolimaPrimera A2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportes Tolima vs Chico odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 70.7%, draw 19.5%, away 9.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.33 5.19 9.60
Bet365 1.33 5.00 8.50
BetVictor 1.30 4.75 9.50
Betano 1.38 4.85 10.75
Betfair 1.30 4.75 9.50
Marathonbet 1.31 4.70 9.10
Pinnacle 1.31 4.98 11.40
SBO 1.28 4.24 7.91
William Hill 1.30 4.75 9.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.31 ▼ -0.01
X 4.75 ▲ +0.05
2 9.50 —

10 snapshots recorded, from .