Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 14

Chico vs Cucuta

0 – 1 Full time

9′Cristián Mosquera
30′Jhonier Alomia
43′Jefferson Mena
61′Jaime Peralta
64′Jacobo PimentelYesus Cabrera
64′Alejandro MayaDelio Ramírez
64′Victor Mejia
67′Sebastián TamaraYair Abonia
70′Dayan Pérez
72′Gustavo TorresDiego Calcaterra
72′Dayan PérezMarlon Carabalí
75′Sebastian SalazarFelipe Cifuentes
85′Leider BerdugoJuan Ceballos
85′Victor MejiaSantiago Vásquez
87′S. MeraDaniel Polanco

Estadio La Independencia, TunjaReferee: Jhon Ospina

Chico 41%
Draw 30%
Cucuta 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 4
64 Possession % 36
11 Corners 1
14 Fouls 5
4 Offsides 5
3 Saves 1
289 Accurate passes 130

Chico vs Cucuta overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Chico vs Cucuta

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityChicoDrawCucuta
Model43.8%27.6%28.6%
Market40.2%30.8%29.0%
Final41.1%30.0%28.9%
Edge+0.9%-0.8%-0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Chico

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.20.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Chico ↓ / Cucuta → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Chico and Cucuta expected goals

Chico 1.54
Cucuta 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.74

Chico and Cucuta attack and defence ratings

Chico

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Cucuta

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Chico vs Cucuta: result vs prediction

Chico 0 – 1 Cucuta

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 14 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Chico vs Cucuta markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Chico 41.1% 2.43 +0.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93 — —
Both teams to score Yes 56.2% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.1% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.2% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Chico41.1%
Draw30.0%
Cucuta28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.7%
Under 2.548.3%
Both teams to scoreYes56.2%
No43.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)58.9%
Handicap -1Chico win22.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss56.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.1%
2-19.2%
1-08.7%

Chico vs Cucuta stats

Chico and Cucuta recent form

newest first
Chico DWLLWW
Cucuta WWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Chico and Cucuta going into this match

league record before kick-off

Chico record

  • They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 8 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 30 matches.

Cucuta record

  • They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).

Chico vs Cucuta head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

2Chico wins 0Draws 5Cucuta wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-28CucutaChicoPrimera A1-0
2022-08-09CucutaChicoPrimera B1-2
2020-09-27ChicoCucutaPrimera A0-2
2017-07-02CucutaChicoPrimera B3-0
2017-06-04CucutaChicoPrimera B4-2
2017-06-02ChicoCucutaPrimera B5-2
2017-02-15ChicoCucutaPrimera B0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Chico vs Cucuta odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.2%, draw 30.8%, away 29.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.31 3.00 3.19
Bet365 2.30 3.00 3.40
BetVictor 2.30 3.10 3.10
Betano 2.32 3.00 3.25
Betfair 2.30 3.10 3.00
Dafabet 2.32 3.10 3.20
Marathonbet 2.29 3.00 3.16
Pinnacle 2.36 3.11 3.31
SBO 2.27 2.88 2.76
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.30 ▲ +0.05
X 3.00 ▼ -0.08
2 3.20 ▼ -0.05

12 snapshots recorded, from .