Cucuta
vs
Atletico Nacional
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico Nacional
0 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional
| Probability | Cucuta | Draw | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.9% | 28.6% | 37.5% |
| Market | 18.5% | 23.5% | 57.9% |
| Final | 22.4% | 24.8% | 52.8% |
| Edge | +15.3% | +5.1% | -20.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.62, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional match preview
Cucuta will face Atletico Nacional in their upcoming Primera A match, with the probability of a victory for Cucuta at 22%, while Atletico Nacional holds a stronger likelihood at 53%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, with an expected goals tally of 1.28 for Cucuta and 1.36 for Atletico Nacional. The probability of both teams scoring stands at 55%, indicating a competitive matchup.
In recent form, Cucuta has recorded three wins followed by two losses and a draw, while Atletico Nacional's last six matches include two wins, two draws, and a loss. The head-to-head record shows that Cucuta has not secured a win against Atletico Nacional in their last encounter, which ended in a draw. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cucuta and Atletico Nacional expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.64
Cucuta and Atletico Nacional attack and defence ratings
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Nacional | 52.8% | 1.89 | -20.4% | 1.62 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 22.4% |
| Draw | 24.8% | |
| Atletico Nacional | 52.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.9% |
| No | 45.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Nacional win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 62.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.4% |
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional stats
Cucuta and Atletico Nacional recent form
| Cucuta |
WWWLLD |
| Atletico Nacional |
DWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cucuta and Atletico Nacional season so far
Cucuta record
- They have won 7 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Atletico Nacional record
- They have won 25 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Atletico Nacional | Cucuta | Primera A | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cucuta vs Atletico Nacional odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.5%, draw 23.5%, away 57.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.97 | 3.94 | 1.60 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| Betano | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.62 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 4.10 | 1.57 |
| Marathonbet | 5.00 | 3.94 | 1.58 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .