Deportivo Pereira
vs
Chico
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Pereira
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Chico
| Probability | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Chico |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.8% | 34.5% | 30.6% |
| Market | 40.1% | 29.2% | 30.7% |
| Final | 38.7% | 30.6% | 30.7% |
| Edge | -5.2% | +5.3% | -0.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.35, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico match preview
Deportivo Pereira faces Chico in their upcoming Primera A match, with probabilities indicating a 38% chance of a Deportivo Pereira victory, while both a draw and a Chico win sit at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Pereira, occurring with a 13% likelihood. Expected goals are closely matched, with Deportivo Pereira at 0.92 and Chico at 0.95.
Recent form shows Deportivo Pereira struggling with two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Chico has shown slightly better form, with two wins and one draw in the same period. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Deportivo Pereira has not secured a win, recording two draws and one loss against Chico. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Pereira and Chico expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.90
Deportivo Pereira and Chico attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pereira
Chico
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 38.7% | 2.58 | -5.2% | 2.35 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 38.7% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Chico | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.8% |
| No | 61.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Pereira win | 13.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-0 | 13.5% |
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico stats
Deportivo Pereira and Chico recent form
| Deportivo Pereira |
DDLLDD |
| Chico |
LDWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pereira and Chico season so far
Deportivo Pereira record
- They have won 2 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chico record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 31 matches.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-02 | Chico | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Chico | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-06 | Deportivo Pereira | Chico | Primera A | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Pereira vs Chico odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.3%, draw 29.9%, away 29.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.31 | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.15 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.10 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.10 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.29 | 3.20 | 2.97 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .