Garuda Lions
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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 4

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira

1 – 1 Full time

5′Jermein Pena
25′Manuel Alejandro Diaz Hernandez
36′Jermein Pena
44′Nicolás Rengifo
45′Sebastian AcostaAnderson Plata
45′Nicolás RengifoSebastián Urrea Arbeláez
45′Manuel Alejandro Diaz HernandezEderson Moreno
47′Daniel Socarras
49′Ederson Moreno
58′Anderson Plata
62′Luis MurielFrancisco Fydriszewski
62′Bryan CastrillónTeófilo Gutiérrez
69′Edwin HerreraAndrés Shmalbach
69′Guillermo PaivaCristian Barrios
69′Luis Jeiner MorenoMiguel Ángel Aguirre
79′Kevin PérezYimmi Chará
90′Miguel PalaciosTobías Bovone

Estadio Romelio Martinez, BarranquillaReferee: Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega

Junior 70%
Draw 19%
Deportivo Pereira 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 5
3 Shots on target 1
49 Possession % 51
9 Corners 3
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 0
0 Saves 2
325 Accurate passes 324

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Junior vs Deportivo Pereira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJuniorDrawDeportivo Pereira
Model64.4%22.2%13.4%
Market71.4%18.4%10.2%
Final69.7%19.3%11.0%
Edge-1.8%+1.0%+0.8%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Junior

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Junior ↓ / Deportivo Pere → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 11% 11% 2 12% 10% 3 8% 7% 4+ 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

Junior and Deportivo Pereira expected goals

Junior 2.03
Deportivo Pereira 0.83

Total expected goals: 2.86

Junior and Deportivo Pereira attack and defence ratings

Junior

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Deportivo Pereira

Attack 0.59 -41%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira: result vs prediction

Junior 1 – 1 Deportivo Pereira

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 4 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Junior 69.7% 1.44 -1.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 54.5% 1.84 — —
Both teams to score No 50.1% 2.00 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.0% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Junior win 40.7% 2.45 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Junior69.7%
Draw19.3%
Deportivo Pereira11.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.554.5%
Under 2.545.5%
Both teams to scoreYes49.9%
No50.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.0%
12 (either side)80.7%
X2 (draw or away)30.3%
Handicap -1Junior win40.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss35.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.8%
1-010.7%
1-110.6%

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira stats

Junior and Deportivo Pereira recent form

newest first
Junior DLLWWL
Deportivo Pereira DLLDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Junior and Deportivo Pereira going into this match

league record before kick-off

Junior record

  • They have won 16 of their 37 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 37 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 37 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 11 of 13 penalties (85%).
  • 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pereira record

  • They have won 2 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Junior wins 3Draws 3Deportivo Pereira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-03Deportivo PereiraJuniorPrimera A2-3
2025-10-18JuniorDeportivo PereiraPrimera A3-2
2025-04-27Deportivo PereiraJuniorPrimera A1-0
2024-10-20JuniorDeportivo PereiraPrimera A3-1
2024-05-23Deportivo PereiraJuniorPrimera A0-0
2024-05-19JuniorDeportivo PereiraPrimera A2-3
2024-02-26Deportivo PereiraJuniorPrimera A3-3
2023-10-25Deportivo PereiraJuniorPrimera A0-2
2023-05-14JuniorDeportivo PereiraPrimera A0-0
2022-12-01JuniorDeportivo PereiraPrimera A0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Junior vs Deportivo Pereira odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 71.4%, draw 18.4%, away 10.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.29 5.10 9.25
Bet365 1.33 4.75 9.50
BetVictor 1.29 5.00 9.00
Betano 1.35 5.40 10.25
Betfair 1.30 5.00 8.50
Dafabet 1.30 5.40 8.80
Marathonbet 1.28 5.10 9.20
Pinnacle 1.31 5.40 9.48
SBO 1.28 4.70 6.66
William Hill 1.30 4.80 8.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.30 ▲ +0.07
X 5.05 ▼ -0.60
2 9.10 ▼ -1.90

7 snapshots recorded, from .