Junior
vs
Deportivo Pereira
Garuda Lions Prediction: Junior
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Junior vs Deportivo Pereira overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Junior vs Deportivo Pereira
| Probability | Junior | Draw | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.1% | 21.6% | 13.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.1% | 21.6% | 13.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Junior
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Junior vs Deportivo Pereira match preview
Junior faces Deportivo Pereira in their upcoming match, with a strong probability of victory for Junior at 65%. The expected goals for Junior stand at 2.09, compared to Deportivo Pereira's 0.85, highlighting a significant offensive advantage. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0, occurring with a 12% likelihood.
In terms of recent form, Junior has recorded two wins in their last six matches, while Deportivo Pereira has struggled, with only one draw in their last six outings. The head-to-head record favors Junior, who has won two of the last three encounters against Deportivo Pereira, who has one win in that span. With a confidence grade of C, this match presents an intriguing dynamic.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Junior and Deportivo Pereira expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
Junior and Deportivo Pereira attack and defence ratings
Junior
Deportivo Pereira
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Junior vs Deportivo Pereira markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Junior win | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Junior | 65.1% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Deportivo Pereira | 13.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.2% |
| No | 48.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Junior win | 41.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 34.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.5% |
| 1-1 | 10.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Junior vs Deportivo Pereira stats
Junior and Deportivo Pereira recent form
| Junior |
LLWWLD |
| Deportivo Pereira |
LLDDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Junior and Deportivo Pereira season so far
Junior record
- They have won 16 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 11 of 13 penalties (85%).
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Pereira record
- They have won 2 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Junior vs Deportivo Pereira head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | Deportivo Pereira | Junior | Primera A | 2-3 |
| 2025-10-18 | Junior | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-27 | Deportivo Pereira | Junior | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.