Deportivo Pereira
vs
Deportivo Cali
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Cali
0 – 1 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali
| Probability | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 12.1% | 25.8% | 62.0% |
| Market | 20.0% | 25.7% | 54.3% |
| Final | 18.0% | 25.7% | 56.3% |
| Edge | -7.9% | +0.1% | +7.7% |
Why Deportivo Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.60.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportivo Cali below the model: +7.7 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.73, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali match preview
Deportivo Pereira faces Deportivo Cali in an upcoming Primera A match on October 10, 2026. The probabilities indicate that Deportivo Cali is favored to win with a 57% chance, while Deportivo Pereira has an 18% chance of victory, and a draw stands at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with a 16% probability. Deportivo Pereira has struggled recently, recording a sequence of L-L-D-D-L-D, whereas Deportivo Cali is in strong form with five consecutive wins followed by a draw.
In terms of expected goals, Deportivo Pereira is projected to score 0.60, while Deportivo Cali is expected to net 1.66. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 39%, and both teams scoring sits at 38%. In their last three encounters, Deportivo Pereira has secured 1 win, while Deportivo Cali has won 2 times.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Cali
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios — team news & stats
- Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas
- Once Caldas vs Llaneros
- Junior v Internacional de Bogota — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto
- Jaguares v Deportes Tolima — match page
- America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Chico v Cucuta — match page
Before and after this match
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 56.3% | 1.78 | +7.7% | 1.73 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.0% | 2.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 18.0% |
| Draw | 25.7% | |
| Deportivo Cali | 56.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.8% |
| No | 62.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 43.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win | 35.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.4% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 16.2% |
| 0-2 | 14.3% | |
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali stats
Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali recent form
| Deportivo Pereira |
LLDDLD |
| Deportivo Cali |
WWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pereira and Deportivo Cali season so far
Deportivo Pereira record
- They have won 2 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cali record
- They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-29 | Deportivo Cali | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Deportivo Cali | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-15 | Deportivo Pereira | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2024-07-17 | Deportivo Cali | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2024-01-20 | Deportivo Pereira | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-18 | Deportivo Pereira | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2023-03-01 | Deportivo Cali | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2022-07-25 | Deportivo Pereira | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2022-02-03 | Deportivo Cali | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2021-12-16 | Deportivo Pereira | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.0%, draw 25.7%, away 54.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.64 | 3.70 | 1.69 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| BetVictor | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.70 |
| Betano | 4.60 | 3.65 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.73 |
| Dafabet | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 4.65 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | 4.39 | 3.90 | 1.71 |
| SBO | 4.16 | 3.18 | 1.63 |
| William Hill | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .