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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 13

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar

3 – 1 Full time

32′Ever Meza
41′Jose Carlos Caldera
45′Deinner QuiñonesLeyner Palacios
47′Emanuel Reynoso
54′Juan Viveros
55′Ever MezaWiston Fernández
61′Leyner Palacios
64′Emanuel ReynosoSteven Rodríguez
69′Juan Dinenno
71′Jesús MuñozCharly Villegas González
71′Johan MartinezAlexis Castillo Manyoma
71′Cristian VergaraMisael Martinez
73′Carlos Bacca
79′Jose Carlos Caldera
80′Eduar Esteban Restrepo
80′Gustavo Cuéllar
82′Juan Dinenno
82′jhildrey lassoJosy Pérez
83′Jair Castillo
84′Fabian ViafaraDaniel Giraldo
84′Juan DinennoKeimer Sandoval
86′Leyner Palacios
90′Alexis Castillo Manyoma

Estadio Deportivo Cali, PalmiraReferee: Jairo Londono

Deportivo Cali 65%
Draw 22%
Alianza Valledupar 12%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 4
62 Possession % 38
3 Corners 5
10 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 1
443 Accurate passes 236

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo CaliDrawAlianza Valledupar
Model75.9%17.2%6.9%
Market61.6%24.1%14.3%
Final65.2%22.4%12.5%
Edge+14.3%-6.9%-7.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.59.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Deportivo Cali below the model: +14.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Cali ↓ / Alianza Valled → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 8% 2 15% 9% 3 11% 4+ 12%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar expected goals

Deportivo Cali 2.34
Alianza Valledupar 0.59

Total expected goals: 2.93

Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Cali

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Alianza Valledupar

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar: result vs prediction

Deportivo Cali 3 – 1 Alianza Valledupar

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 13 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Cali 65.2% 1.53 +14.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.0% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score No 59.1% 1.69 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.5% 1.14 — —
Handicap -1 Deportivo Cali win 53.3% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Cali65.2%
Draw22.4%
Alianza Valledupar12.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.0%
Under 2.544.0%
Both teams to scoreYes40.9%
No59.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.5%
12 (either side)77.6%
X2 (draw or away)34.8%
Handicap -1Deportivo Cali win53.3%
Push (exactly one goal)22.6%
Loss24.1%
Correct score (top 3)2-014.6%
1-011.8%
3-011.4%

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar stats

Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar recent form

newest first
Deportivo Cali WWWWDD
Alianza Valledupar WLWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Cali and Alianza Valledupar going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Alianza Valledupar record

  • They have won 6 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Deportivo Cali wins 3Draws 3Alianza Valledupar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-21Deportivo CaliAlianza ValleduparCopa Colombia1-0
2026-03-22Alianza ValleduparDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-0
2025-10-28Deportivo CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A0-1
2025-05-11Alianza ValleduparDeportivo CaliPrimera A2-0
2024-07-22Deportivo CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A1-0
2024-01-27Alianza ValleduparDeportivo CaliPrimera A3-3
2023-10-02Deportivo CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A1-0
2023-04-22Alianza ValleduparDeportivo CaliPrimera A0-3
2022-08-20Alianza ValleduparDeportivo CaliPrimera A4-4
2022-02-20Deportivo CaliAlianza ValleduparPrimera A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 61.6%, draw 24.1%, away 14.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.52 4.28 6.25
Bet365 1.53 3.80 7.00
BetVictor 1.50 3.80 6.50
Betano 1.60 4.00 6.80
Betfair 1.47 4.00 6.50
Marathonbet 1.51 3.78 6.25
Pinnacle 1.55 3.86 6.55
SBO 1.49 3.50 5.22
William Hill 1.50 3.90 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.51 ▼ -0.02
X 3.86 ▲ +0.08
2 6.50 ▲ +0.20

8 snapshots recorded, from .