Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 13
Llaneros
vs
America de Cali
1 – 2 Full time
| 17′ | Francisco Meza | ||
| 31′ | Francisco Meza | ||
| 54′ | Neider Ospina | ||
| 58′ | Neider OspinaDaniel Mantilla | ||
| 58′ | Luis MirandaMarlon Sierra | ||
| 60′ | Frank CastanedaJhon Vasquez | ||
| 67′ | Yani QuinteroJosé Cavadia | ||
| 67′ | Tomás ÁngelDaniel Valencia | ||
| 73′ | Daniel Valencia | ||
| 82′ | Jhon MurilloJhon Palacios | ||
| 83′ | Jhon Vasquez | ||
| 83′ | Jean Paulo Fernandes Filho | ||
| 84′ | Juan CastillaJoel Jesús Contreras Torres | ||
| 90′ | Dany Rosero | ||
| 90′ | Juan RamirezKelvin Osorio | ||
| 90′ | Cristian Tovar | ||
| 90′ | José CavadiaCamilo Amu |
Llaneros
27%
Draw
29%
America de Cali
44%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 4 |
| 222 | Accurate passes | 375 |
Llaneros vs America de Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llaneros vs America de Cali
| Probability | Llaneros | Draw | America de Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.2% | 29.6% | 46.2% |
| Market | 27.4% | 29.4% | 43.1% |
| Final | 26.6% | 29.5% | 43.9% |
| Edge | -3.2% | +0.2% | +3.0% |
Why America de Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.40 vs 0.95.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices America de Cali below the model: +3.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
69%
3+ goals
42%
No goals
11%
Llaneros and America de Cali expected goals
Llaneros
0.95
America de Cali
1.40
Total expected goals: 2.35
Llaneros and America de Cali attack and defence ratings
Llaneros
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
1.14 +14%
America de Cali
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
0.70 -30%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llaneros vs America de Cali: result vs prediction
Llaneros 1 – 2 America de Cali
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Internacional de Bogota v Atletico Nacional — match page
- Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Águilas Doradas v Jaguares — match page
- Deportes Tolima vs Chico
- Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira
- Bucaramanga v Junior — match page
- Independiente Medellin v Santa Fe — match page
Before and after this match
Llaneros vs America de Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | America de Cali | 43.9% | 2.28 | +3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llaneros | 26.6% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| America de Cali | 43.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | America de Cali win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.9% |
| 0-1 | 12.0% | |
| 0-0 | 10.7% |
Llaneros vs America de Cali stats
Llaneros and America de Cali recent form
| Llaneros |
LWLLLL |
| America de Cali |
WDLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Llaneros and America de Cali going into this match
Llaneros record
- They have won 8 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
America de Cali record
- They have won 17 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 9 penalties (100%).
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llaneros vs America de Cali head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
0Llaneros wins
4Draws
1America de Cali wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | America de Cali | Llaneros | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-11 | Llaneros | America de Cali | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-25 | America de Cali | Llaneros | Primera A | 4-3 |
| 2016-08-07 | Llaneros | America de Cali | Primera B | 1-1 |
| 2016-03-22 | America de Cali | Llaneros | Primera B | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llaneros vs America de Cali odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.4%, draw 29.4%, away 43.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 3.56 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
| BetVictor | 3.25 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 3.60 | 3.00 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 3.25 | 3.30 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 3.42 | 3.10 | 2.12 |
| Pinnacle | 3.52 | 3.15 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 3.00 | 2.95 | 2.01 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
3.38 ▼ -0.06
X
3.15 ▲ +0.05
2
2.15 —
12 snapshots recorded, from .