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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 13

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares

2 – 0 Full time

35′Ricardo Marquez
45′Duvan RodriguezSantiago Cubides
45′Juan Esteban FrancoJonathan Lovera
59′Cristian AlvarezJohan Beltrán
59′Darwin LopezJohar Mejia
59′Diego Martínez
60′Andrés Rentería
62′Rafael Bustamante
67′Iván RojasEduar Arízalas
67′Matías RamírezJuan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
67′Dylan LozanoJhon Meléndez
68′Jhon Meléndez
77′Luis JimenezCarlos Cantillo
81′Fabián SuárezAnthony Vásquez
84′Andres MosqueraNicolás Lara Vásquez
85′Diego Martínez
90′Ricardo Marquez
90′Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
90′Jonathan Lovera
90′Andres Ricaurte
90′Eduar Arízalas

Estadio Cincuentenario, MedellinReferee: Jose Alexander Ortiz Novoa

Águilas Doradas 58%
Draw 23%
Jaguares 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 0
60 Possession % 40
7 Corners 5
11 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 3
0 Saves 5
376 Accurate passes 219

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÁguilas DoradasDrawJaguares
Model46.0%25.5%28.5%
Market62.3%22.3%15.4%
Final58.2%23.1%18.7%
Edge-16.3%+3.2%+13.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Águilas Doradas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.34.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Águilas Dorada ↓ / Jaguares → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Águilas Doradas and Jaguares expected goals

Águilas Doradas 1.75
Jaguares 1.34

Total expected goals: 3.09

Águilas Doradas and Jaguares attack and defence ratings

Águilas Doradas

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Jaguares

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares: result vs prediction

Águilas Doradas 2 – 0 Jaguares

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 13 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Águilas Doradas 58.2% 1.72 -16.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.1% 1.61 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.3% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.0% 1.85 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Águilas Doradas58.2%
Draw23.1%
Jaguares18.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes62.1%
No37.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.3%
12 (either side)76.9%
X2 (draw or away)41.8%
Handicap -1Águilas Doradas win25.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss54.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-19.3%
1-27.2%

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares stats

Águilas Doradas and Jaguares recent form

newest first
Águilas Doradas LLDLDD
Jaguares LLDDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Águilas Doradas and Jaguares going into this match

league record before kick-off

Águilas Doradas record

  • They have won 9 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

Jaguares record

  • They have won 6 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 29 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Águilas Doradas wins 4Draws 2Jaguares wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10Águilas DoradasJaguaresCopa Colombia0-0
2026-03-23JaguaresÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-1
2024-08-14Águilas DoradasJaguaresPrimera A1-0
2024-02-09JaguaresÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-0
2023-11-09JaguaresÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-1
2023-05-18Águilas DoradasJaguaresPrimera A3-0
2022-09-26JaguaresÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-0
2022-04-03Águilas DoradasJaguaresPrimera A1-1
2021-08-22Águilas DoradasJaguaresPrimera A1-2
2021-03-20JaguaresÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.3%, draw 22.3%, away 15.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.52 4.46 5.95
Bet365 1.50 4.20 6.25
BetVictor 1.50 4.00 6.00
Betano 1.55 4.35 6.70
Betfair 1.47 4.20 6.50
Marathonbet 1.50 3.94 6.05
Pinnacle 1.50 4.20 6.90
SBO 1.46 3.67 5.32
William Hill 1.44 4.00 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.07
X 4.20 ▲ +0.40
2 6.05 ▲ +0.45

10 snapshots recorded, from .