Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 13
Bucaramanga
vs
Junior
3 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | Pablo Ortíz | ||
| 22′ | José Daniel García Aragón | ||
| 25′ | Luis Muriel | ||
| 33′ | Fredy Hinestroza | ||
| 37′ | Emerson Batalla | ||
| 43′ | Pablo Ortíz | ||
| 45′ | Daniel RiveraDaniel Socarras | ||
| 61′ | Fabián Sambueza | ||
| 64′ | Emerson Batalla | ||
| 66′ | Fabian BernalHarold Rivera | ||
| 66′ | Jesús RivasKevin Pérez | ||
| 66′ | Déiber CaicedoBryan Castrillón | ||
| 74′ | Fredy HinestrozaAldair Gutiérrez | ||
| 74′ | Fabián SambuezaOmar Albornoz | ||
| 81′ | Guillermo CelisGuillermo Paiva | ||
| 84′ | Luciano PonsBrandon·Caicedo | ||
| 85′ | Emerson BatallaLeonardo Flores | ||
| 85′ | Nilson CastrillónAdrián Murillo |
Bucaramanga
52%
Draw
26%
Junior
22%
Match stats
| 12 | Shots | 24 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 8 | Fouls | 7 |
| 1 | Offsides | 1 |
| 7 | Saves | 2 |
| 295 | Accurate passes | 405 |
Bucaramanga vs Junior overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bucaramanga vs Junior
| Probability | Bucaramanga | Draw | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.9% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
| Market | 46.6% | 28.2% | 25.2% |
| Final | 51.7% | 25.9% | 22.4% |
| Edge | +20.3% | -9.3% | -11.0% |
Why Bucaramanga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.49 vs 1.10.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bucaramanga below the model: +20.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
70%
No goals
4%
Bucaramanga and Junior expected goals
Bucaramanga
2.49
Junior
1.10
Total expected goals: 3.59
Bucaramanga and Junior attack and defence ratings
Bucaramanga
Attack
1.40 +40%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Junior
Attack
1.23 +23%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bucaramanga vs Junior: result vs prediction
Bucaramanga 3 – 1 Junior
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 13 fixtures
- Internacional de Bogota v Atletico Nacional — match page
- Deportivo Cali vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Águilas Doradas v Jaguares — match page
- Deportes Tolima vs Chico
- Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats
- Cucuta vs Deportivo Pereira
- Llaneros vs America de Cali — team news & stats
- Independiente Medellin v Santa Fe — match page
Before and after this match
Bucaramanga vs Junior markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bucaramanga | 51.7% | 1.94 | +20.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bucaramanga win | 46.1% | 2.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bucaramanga | 51.7% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Junior | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bucaramanga win | 46.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.9% | |
| Loss | 33.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.4% |
| 2-0 | 8.6% | |
| 1-1 | 8.3% |
Bucaramanga vs Junior stats
Bucaramanga and Junior recent form
| Bucaramanga |
WWDWDD |
| Junior |
LWWLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bucaramanga and Junior going into this match
Bucaramanga record
- They have won 10 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 29 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Junior record
- They have won 15 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 10 of 11 penalties (91%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Bucaramanga vs Junior head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Bucaramanga wins
3Draws
5Junior wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | Junior | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-18 | Junior | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-01 | Bucaramanga | Junior | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-18 | Bucaramanga | Junior | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-26 | Junior | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2024-05-11 | Bucaramanga | Junior | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2024-01-21 | Junior | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-01 | Junior | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-05 | Bucaramanga | Junior | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-10 | Bucaramanga | Junior | Primera A | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bucaramanga vs Junior odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.6%, draw 28.2%, away 25.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 3.77 | 3.76 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 3.30 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.40 | 3.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 3.34 | 3.72 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 3.38 | 3.83 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 2.95 | 3.20 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.00 ▲ +0.03
X
3.30 ▼ -0.04
2
3.70 ▲ +0.03
12 snapshots recorded, from .