Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 13

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC

0 – 0 Full time

45′Brandon MejíaLeonardo Pico
45′Patrick PreciadoMatias Pisano
57′Mariano VázquezJhoiner Salas
62′Enrique Serje
67′Enrique SerjeTomás Blandón Vélez
69′Mateo Garavito
77′Jeferson Medina
78′Jordan GarciaItalo Montano Cortes
78′Diego Gabriel ChavezHarrinson Mancilla
78′Jonathan PerlazaKevin Daniel Santacruz Andrade
85′Sebastian NavarroKevin Balanta
85′Santiago Vivas VélezFranco Pulicastro
90′Harrinson Mancilla

Estadio Departamental Libertad, PastoReferee: Bryan Loayza

Deportivo Pasto 42%
Draw 29%
Fortaleza FC 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

5 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 6
49 Possession % 51
3 Corners 1
19 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
6 Saves 0
314 Accurate passes 328

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo PastoDrawFortaleza FC
Model38.5%27.9%33.6%
Market43.4%29.2%27.4%
Final42.2%28.8%29.0%
Edge-4.9%-1.3%+6.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Pasto

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Past ↓ / Fortaleza FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 8% 13% 8% 2 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza FC expected goals

Deportivo Pasto 1.43
Fortaleza FC 1.32

Total expected goals: 2.76

Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza FC attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Pasto

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Fortaleza FC

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC: result vs prediction

Deportivo Pasto 0 – 0 Fortaleza FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 13 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Pasto 42.2% 2.37 -4.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.0% 1.92 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.1% 1.75 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.2% 1.41 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.5% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Pasto42.2%
Draw28.8%
Fortaleza FC29.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.0%
Under 2.548.0%
Both teams to scoreYes57.1%
No42.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.0%
12 (either side)71.2%
X2 (draw or away)57.8%
Handicap -1Deportivo Pasto win18.8%
Push (exactly one goal)19.7%
Loss61.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
2-18.6%
1-28.0%

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC stats

Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza FC recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza FC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Pasto record

  • They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fortaleza FC record

  • They have won 6 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 30 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

5Deportivo Pasto wins 1Draws 1Fortaleza FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-25Fortaleza FCDeportivo PastoPrimera A1-2
2025-10-24Fortaleza FCDeportivo PastoPrimera A2-0
2025-05-04Deportivo PastoFortaleza FCPrimera A1-0
2024-09-15Fortaleza FCDeportivo PastoPrimera A0-0
2024-03-05Deportivo PastoFortaleza FCPrimera A1-0
2016-11-06Deportivo PastoFortaleza FCPrimera A1-0
2016-05-20Fortaleza FCDeportivo PastoPrimera A0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.4%, draw 29.2%, away 27.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 3.44 3.40
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.50
BetVictor 2.15 3.10 3.40
Betano 2.27 3.35 3.50
Betfair 2.15 3.25 3.30
Marathonbet 2.15 3.10 3.35
Pinnacle 2.21 3.14 3.62
SBO 2.05 2.84 3.02
William Hill 2.15 3.20 3.20

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.