Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 14
Fortaleza FC
vs
Millonarios
1 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | Leonai·Souza de Almeida | ||
| 45′ | Leonai·Souza de AlmeidaStiven Vega | ||
| 46′ | Leonardo Pico | ||
| 59′ | Jordan GarciaMariano Vázquez | ||
| 71′ | Juan CuadradoDavid Silva | ||
| 71′ | Andrey EstupinanDaniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera | ||
| 71′ | Jhoiner SalasJulio Sinisterra | ||
| 71′ | Sebastian NavarroItalo Montano Cortes | ||
| 74′ | Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera | ||
| 76′ | Juan Sebastian Herrera | ||
| 86′ | Juan Sebastian HerreraFranco Pulicastro | ||
| 86′ | Santiago Vivas VélezJhon Solis | ||
| 88′ | Rodrigo Ureña | ||
| 88′ | Francisco Chaverra | ||
| 90′ | Joan Cajares | ||
| 90′ | Italo Montano Cortes |
Fortaleza FC
29%
Draw
29%
Millonarios
42%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 56 | Possession % | 44 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 442 | Accurate passes | 325 |
Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios
| Probability | Fortaleza FC | Draw | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 28.6% | 42.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.2% | 28.6% | 42.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Millonarios
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
48%
No goals
9%
Fortaleza FC and Millonarios expected goals
Fortaleza FC
1.16
Millonarios
1.44
Total expected goals: 2.59
Fortaleza FC and Millonarios attack and defence ratings
Fortaleza FC
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Millonarios
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios: result vs prediction
Fortaleza FC 1 – 1 Millonarios
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas
- Once Caldas vs Llaneros
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Junior v Internacional de Bogota — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto
- Jaguares v Deportes Tolima — match page
- America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Chico v Cucuta — match page
Before and after this match
Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millonarios | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza FC | 29.2% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Millonarios | 42.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.4% |
| No | 46.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millonarios win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 57.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-2 | 8.9% |
Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios stats
Fortaleza FC and Millonarios recent form
| Fortaleza FC |
DDLDDL |
| Millonarios |
DDWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortaleza FC and Millonarios going into this match
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Millonarios record
- They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
0Fortaleza FC wins
1Draws
9Millonarios wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-06 | Fortaleza FC | Millonarios | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2024-10-17 | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Fortaleza FC | Millonarios | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-18 | Fortaleza FC | Millonarios | Copa Colombia | 2-3 |
| 2022-07-27 | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | Copa Colombia | 3-0 |
| 2019-03-13 | Fortaleza FC | Millonarios | Copa Colombia | 0-1 |
| 2019-02-14 | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | Copa Colombia | 1-0 |
| 2016-08-14 | Millonarios | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.