Once Caldas
vs
Llaneros
Garuda Lions Prediction: Once Caldas
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Once Caldas vs Llaneros overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Once Caldas vs Llaneros
| Probability | Once Caldas | Draw | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 28.1% | 24.4% |
| Market | 61.3% | 23.2% | 15.4% |
| Final | 57.9% | 24.5% | 17.7% |
| Edge | -13.8% | +4.9% | +8.9% |
Why Once Caldas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 1.03.
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros match preview
Once Caldas enters this match with a 58% probability of winning, while Llaneros has an 18% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Once Caldas, with a probability of 11%. The expected goals for Once Caldas stand at 1.53, compared to Llaneros' 1.03, indicating a potential edge for the home side in offensive output.
Recent form shows that Once Caldas has struggled with a record of D-L-L-W-L-L, while Llaneros has faced difficulties as well, with L-L-W-L-L-L in their last matches. In their last three encounters, the teams have each claimed one victory, with one match ending in a draw. The model suggests a 52% chance that both teams will score, and a 47% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Once Caldas and Llaneros expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Once Caldas and Llaneros attack and defence ratings
Once Caldas
Llaneros
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Junior v Internacional de Bogota — match page
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- Jaguares v Deportes Tolima — match page
- America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Chico v Cucuta — match page
Before and after this match
Once Caldas vs Llaneros markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Once Caldas | 57.9% | 1.73 | -13.8% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Once Caldas | 57.9% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Llaneros | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Once Caldas win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 52.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Once Caldas vs Llaneros stats
Once Caldas and Llaneros recent form
| Once Caldas |
DLLWLL |
| Llaneros |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Once Caldas and Llaneros season so far
Once Caldas record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llaneros record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Llaneros | Once Caldas | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Llaneros | Once Caldas | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Once Caldas | Llaneros | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.3%, draw 23.2%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.05 | 6.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.15 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.05 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.16 | 6.03 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 3.64 | 5.22 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .