Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 14
Once Caldas
vs
Llaneros
1 – 0 Full time
| 33′ | Jefry Zapata | ||
| 35′ | Juan Castilla | ||
| 45′ | Jimmy MedrandaLuis Miranda | ||
| 51′ | Juan Cuesta | ||
| 55′ | Carlos Cortés | ||
| 68′ | Jorge Cardona | ||
| 72′ | Carlos CortésYorleys Mena | ||
| 73′ | Francisco Meza | ||
| 75′ | Jhon Vasquez | ||
| 85′ | Juan RamirezJoel Jesús Contreras Torres | ||
| 88′ | Felipe GomezEdwin Torres | ||
| 88′ | Michael BarriosHelieyker Guzman | ||
| 90′ | Frank CastanedaMarlon Sierra | ||
| 90′ | Juan CastillaNeider Ospina | ||
| 90′ | Andrés RoaTomas García | ||
| 90′ | Jader QuinonesMateo Zuleta García |
Once Caldas
58%
Draw
24%
Llaneros
18%
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 409 | Accurate passes | 242 |
Once Caldas vs Llaneros overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Once Caldas vs Llaneros
| Probability | Once Caldas | Draw | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.5% | 28.1% | 24.4% |
| Market | 61.3% | 23.2% | 15.4% |
| Final | 57.9% | 24.5% | 17.7% |
| Edge | -3.5% | +1.2% | +2.2% |
Why Once Caldas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.03.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Once Caldas and Llaneros expected goals
Once Caldas
1.52
Llaneros
1.03
Total expected goals: 2.55
Once Caldas and Llaneros attack and defence ratings
Once Caldas
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Llaneros
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
1.19 +19%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros: result vs prediction
Once Caldas 1 – 0 Llaneros
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 14 fixtures
- Fortaleza FC vs Millonarios — team news & stats
- Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Junior v Internacional de Bogota — match page
- Jaguares v Deportes Tolima — match page
- Chico v Cucuta — match page
- America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin — team news & stats
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto
Before and after this match
Once Caldas vs Llaneros markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Once Caldas | 57.9% | 1.73 | -3.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Once Caldas | 57.9% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Llaneros | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.5% |
| No | 48.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Once Caldas win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 52.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Once Caldas vs Llaneros stats
Once Caldas and Llaneros recent form
| Once Caldas |
DLLWLL |
| Llaneros |
LLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Once Caldas and Llaneros going into this match
Once Caldas record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llaneros record
- They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Once Caldas wins
1Draws
1Llaneros wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Llaneros | Once Caldas | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Llaneros | Once Caldas | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-27 | Once Caldas | Llaneros | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Once Caldas vs Llaneros odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.3%, draw 23.2%, away 15.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 4.05 | 6.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.15 | 6.70 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.53 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 4.05 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53 | 4.16 | 6.03 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 3.64 | 5.22 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.52 ▲ +0.02
X
4.00 —
2
6.02 ▼ -0.18
9 snapshots recorded, from .