Garuda Lions
Today
Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 17

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas

1 – 1 Full time

6′Jefry Zapata
21′Diego Duarte
26′Andres Colorado
45′Ronaldo Junior Julio TobíasJohan Caballero
50′Larry Vásquez
62′Michael BarriosMateo Zuleta García
62′Andrés RoaEdwin Torres
62′Cristián DájomeFacundo Boné
73′Edwin Torres
75′Felipe GomezDayro Moreno
75′Diego DuarteJhon Jaider Steven Palomeque Calvo
75′Ruben ManjarresDewar Victoria
88′Fabricio SanguinettiYeider García
89′Jefry ZapataJuan Pablo Nieto

Estadio Metropolitano de TechoReferee: Jonnathan Ortiz

Internacional de Bogota 35%
Draw 30%
Once Caldas 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

18 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
54 Possession % 46
1 Corners 5
19 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 5
4 Saves 2
296 Accurate passes 417

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityInternacional de BogotaDrawOnce Caldas
Model42.1%28.2%29.8%
Market32.5%30.7%36.8%
Final34.9%30.0%35.0%
Edge+9.6%-2.5%-7.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Once Caldas

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Internacional ↓ / Once Caldas → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas expected goals

Internacional de Bogota 1.47
Once Caldas 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.67

Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas attack and defence ratings

Internacional de Bogota

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Once Caldas

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas: result vs prediction

Internacional de Bogota 1 – 1 Once Caldas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Before and after this match

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Once Caldas 35.0% 2.85 -7.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.1% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.0% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.2% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Internacional de Bogota34.9%
Draw30.0%
Once Caldas35.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.9%
Under 2.550.1%
Both teams to scoreYes55.1%
No44.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.0%
12 (either side)70.0%
X2 (draw or away)65.1%
Handicap -1Once Caldas win12.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.9%
Loss70.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-19.0%
1-08.9%

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas stats

Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas recent form

newest first
Internacional de Bogota DLLWDD
Once Caldas LLWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Internacional de Bogota and Once Caldas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Internacional de Bogota record

  • They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Once Caldas record

  • They have won 11 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Internacional de Bogota wins 4Draws 5Once Caldas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-20Once CaldasInternacional de BogotaPrimera A2-1
2025-10-07Internacional de BogotaOnce CaldasPrimera A0-1
2025-04-16Once CaldasInternacional de BogotaPrimera A3-0
2024-08-04Internacional de BogotaOnce CaldasPrimera A1-1
2024-05-31Internacional de BogotaOnce CaldasPrimera A1-2
2024-05-06Once CaldasInternacional de BogotaPrimera A2-0
2024-02-06Once CaldasInternacional de BogotaPrimera A0-0
2023-09-22Once CaldasInternacional de BogotaPrimera A1-1
2023-04-11Internacional de BogotaOnce CaldasPrimera A4-1
2022-07-14Once CaldasInternacional de BogotaPrimera A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Internacional de Bogota vs Once Caldas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.5%, draw 30.7%, away 36.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.84 3.14 2.62
Bet365 2.88 3.10 2.50
BetVictor 2.75 3.25 2.45
Betano 2.87 3.05 2.52
Betfair 2.70 3.00 2.45
Marathonbet 2.83 2.80 2.66
Pinnacle 2.88 3.00 2.72
SBO 2.50 2.96 2.42
William Hill 2.80 2.90 2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.83 ▲ +0.04
X 3.00 ▲ +0.21
2 2.50 ▼ -0.21

12 snapshots recorded, from .