Águilas Doradas
vs
Fortaleza FC
Garuda Lions Prediction: Águilas Doradas
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC
| Probability | Águilas Doradas | Draw | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.5% | 24.9% | 16.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.5% | 24.9% | 16.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Águilas Doradas
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC match preview
Águilas Doradas will face Fortaleza FC in a Primera A match, with a 52% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, with expected goals of 1.66 for Águilas Doradas and 0.97 for Fortaleza FC. Recent form shows Águilas Doradas with a mixed record of L-W-D-D-W-L, while Fortaleza FC has struggled, recording D-L-D-D-D-L.
In their last three encounters, Águilas Doradas has not secured a win, with 1 draw and 2 losses against Fortaleza FC. The probabilities for a draw stand at 27%, while Fortaleza FC has a 21% chance of winning. Additionally, there is a 51% likelihood that both teams will score, and a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza FC attack and defence ratings
Águilas Doradas
Fortaleza FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 17 fixtures
- Llaneros v Junior — match page
- Independiente Medellin v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- Deportivo Cali vs Chico — team news & stats
- Cucuta vs Santa Fe
- Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Millonarios vs America de Cali
- Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águilas Doradas | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águilas Doradas | 58.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Fortaleza FC | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.8% |
| No | 50.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Águilas Doradas win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 41.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 1-0 | 11.3% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC stats
Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza FC recent form
| Águilas Doradas |
WLWDDW |
| Fortaleza FC |
LDLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Águilas Doradas and Fortaleza FC season so far
Águilas Doradas record
- They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 5 penalties (60%).
Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Fortaleza FC | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-04 | Águilas Doradas | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2025-02-18 | Fortaleza FC | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.