Deportivo Pasto
vs
Jaguares
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Pasto
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares
| Probability | Deportivo Pasto | Draw | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.4% | 30.9% | 30.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.4% | 30.9% | 30.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares match preview
Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares are set to face off in a closely matched encounter, with our model giving Deportivo Pasto a 38% chance of winning, while both teams have a 31% probability of a draw or a Jaguares victory. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Pasto, with an 11% probability. Expected goals suggest Deportivo Pasto will score 1.23, compared to Jaguares' 1.08.
In terms of recent form, Deportivo Pasto has recorded two wins, two losses, and one draw in their last five matches, while Jaguares has achieved two wins and three losses. The head-to-head record shows Deportivo Pasto has won their last encounter, with a total of one win against Jaguares' zero. The overall confidence grade for this match is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 17 fixtures
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- Deportivo Cali vs Chico — team news & stats
- Águilas Doradas v Fortaleza FC — match page
- Cucuta vs Santa Fe
- Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Millonarios vs America de Cali
Before and after this match
Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pasto | 38.4% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pasto | 38.4% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Jaguares | 30.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Pasto win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 61.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.3% | |
| 1-0 | 10.9% |
Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares stats
Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares recent form
| Deportivo Pasto |
WLLDLW |
| Jaguares |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares season so far
Deportivo Pasto record
- They have won 13 of their 36 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 36 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 36 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jaguares record
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Jaguares | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.