Deportivo Pereira
vs
Jaguares
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Pereira
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.03.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares
| Probability | Deportivo Pereira | Draw | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.0% | 27.9% | 24.1% |
| Market | 40.0% | 28.2% | 31.8% |
| Final | 42.0% | 28.1% | 29.9% |
| Edge | +2.0% | -0.1% | -1.9% |
Why Deportivo Pereira
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 1.03.
- The market prices Deportivo Pereira below our published probability: +2.0 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.7% per unit staked (our 42.0% × 2.47 − 1).
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares match preview
Deportivo Pereira faces Jaguares in a matchup where the probabilities suggest a slight edge for the home side, with a 42% chance of victory compared to 30% for Jaguares and a 28% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals indicate a stronger offensive output for Deportivo Pereira at 1.55, while Jaguares is projected at 1.03. The most likely scoreline according to the model is 1-0, occurring 11% of the time.
In terms of recent form, Deportivo Pereira has recorded a series of draws and a loss, while Jaguares has experienced mixed results with two wins and four losses in their last six matches. Historically, Deportivo Pereira has performed well against Jaguares, winning five of their last ten encounters, which adds an interesting dynamic to this fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pereira
Jaguares
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 5 fixtures
- Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali
- Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas
- Chico vs Junior — team news & stats
- Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin
- America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats
- Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — match page
- Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 42.0% | 2.38 | +2.0% | 2.47 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pereira | 42.0% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Jaguares | 29.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.8% |
| No | 48.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Pereira win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.4% |
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares stats
Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares recent form
| Deportivo Pereira |
DWDDLL |
| Jaguares |
WLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pereira and Jaguares season so far
Deportivo Pereira record
- They have won 3 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Jaguares record
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | Deportivo Pereira | Jaguares | Copa Colombia | 1-0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Jaguares | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-01 | Jaguares | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-14 | Deportivo Pereira | Jaguares | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-19 | Deportivo Pereira | Jaguares | Primera A | 3-0 |
| 2023-02-26 | Jaguares | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2022-08-14 | Jaguares | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2022-02-16 | Deportivo Pereira | Jaguares | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Deportivo Pereira | Jaguares | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2021-02-25 | Jaguares | Deportivo Pereira | Primera A | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Pereira vs Jaguares odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.0%, draw 28.2%, away 31.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.97 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.32 | 3.30 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 3.25 | 2.94 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40 | 3.46 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 2.91 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.25 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .