Garuda Lions
Today
Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 5

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali

1 – 1 Full time

33′Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera
39′Johan Martinez
45′Gustavo Cuéllar
45′Daniel Felipe Ruiz RiveraAndrey Estupinan
45′Sebastián ValenciaDanovis Banguero
45′Mateo Garcia RojasDavid Silva
55′Eduard BelloSantiago Vallecilla González
59′Edwin Velasco
60′Francisco Chaverra
74′Johan MartinezAvilés Hurtado
77′Leyser Chaverra Renteria
80′Leonardo Castro
84′David Silva
85′Fabian ViafaraAlexis Castillo Manyoma
85′Steven RodríguezJuan Dinenno
85′Nicolás BenedettiEmanuel Reynoso
90′Avilés Hurtado
90′Rodrigo Ureña
90′Jose Carlos Caldera
90′Jaine Barreiro

Estadio El Campin, BogotaReferee: Carlos Andres Marquez Ortega

Millonarios 51%
Draw 28%
Deportivo Cali 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

20 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
53 Possession % 47
7 Corners 3
15 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 4
4 Saves 6
318 Accurate passes 291

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMillonariosDrawDeportivo Cali
Model43.5%31.9%24.6%
Market52.9%26.5%20.6%
Final50.6%27.8%21.6%
Edge-9.5%+5.5%+4.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Millonarios

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.86.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Millonarios ↓ / Deportivo Cali → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali expected goals

Millonarios 1.23
Deportivo Cali 0.86

Total expected goals: 2.09

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings

Millonarios

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Deportivo Cali

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali: result vs prediction

Millonarios 1 – 1 Deportivo Cali

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 5 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Millonarios 50.6% 1.98 -9.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 57.8% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.4% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.5% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Millonarios50.6%
Draw27.8%
Deportivo Cali21.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.8%
Under 2.565.2%
Both teams to scoreYes42.2%
No57.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.4%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Millonarios win20.0%
Push (exactly one goal)23.5%
Loss56.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-013.9%
0-013.7%

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali stats

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali recent form

newest first
Millonarios DLDWDW
Deportivo Cali DLDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Millonarios and Deportivo Cali going into this match

league record before kick-off

Millonarios record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Millonarios wins 5Draws 1Deportivo Cali wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08Deportivo CaliMillonariosPrimera A0-0
2025-08-09MillonariosDeportivo CaliPrimera A3-3
2025-02-23Deportivo CaliMillonariosPrimera A3-1
2024-10-05Deportivo CaliMillonariosPrimera A0-1
2024-03-23MillonariosDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-1
2023-08-25Deportivo CaliMillonariosPrimera A0-0
2023-03-05MillonariosDeportivo CaliPrimera A2-0
2022-08-07MillonariosDeportivo CaliPrimera A4-2
2022-02-13Deportivo CaliMillonariosPrimera A0-2
2021-08-15Deportivo CaliMillonariosPrimera A2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 26.5%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 3.55 5.00
1xBet 1.77 3.45 4.58
888Sport 1.75 3.30 4.50
Bet365 1.75 3.60 4.50
BetVictor 1.73 3.50 4.50
Betano 1.83 3.70 4.80
Betfair 1.75 3.60 4.50
Dafabet 1.78 3.50 4.50
Marathonbet 1.75 3.45 4.60
Pinnacle 1.79 3.52 4.79
SBO 1.78 3.10 3.80
Superbet 1.78 3.50 4.45
Unibet 1.67 3.65 5.30
William Hill 1.75 3.30 4.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.75 ▲ +0.05
X 3.50 ▼ -0.04
2 4.50 ▼ -0.38

8 snapshots recorded, from .