Primera A · 2026-10-27T23:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Clausura - 5

Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas

0 – 2 Full time

33′			A. Ricaurte
45′			A. Mosquera
56′			L. RiosJ. Agudelo
65′			G. TorresM. B. Carabali Lopez
65′			D. PerezC. Cordoba
65′			J. MenaE. Arizalas
69′			D. Lozano
76′			M. RamirezA. Carreno
79′			S. TamaraD. Calcaterra
79′			J. QuinonesJ. E. Manyoma Cordoba
81′			J. Agudelo
82′			V. Mejia
86′			A. VasquezJ. E. Avalo Trejos
86′			I. RojasJ. Roa
90′			J. Peralta
90′			J. Garcia

Estadio General Santander, CucutaReferee: Carlos Betancur, Colombia

Cucuta

40%

Draw

30%

Águilas Doradas

31%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

16	Shots	14
5	Shots on target	7
52	Possession %	48
12	Corners	2
11	Fouls	12
2	Offsides	2
5	Saves	5
260	Accurate passes	245

Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Cucuta	Draw	Águilas Doradas
Model	48.5%	27.4%	24.1%
Market	36.7%	30.6%	32.8%
Final	39.6%	29.8%	30.6%
Edge	+2.9%	-0.8%	-2.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Cucuta

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.06.
Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The market prices Cucuta below our published probability: +2.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

92%

2+ goals

75%

3+ goals

49%

No goals

Cucuta and Águilas Doradas expected goals

Cucuta

1.59

Águilas Doradas

1.06

Total expected goals: 2.65

Cucuta and Águilas Doradas attack and defence ratings

Cucuta

Attack

1.07 +7%

Defence

1.09 +9%

Águilas Doradas

Attack

0.99 -1%

Defence

1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas: result vs prediction

Cucuta 0 – 2 Águilas Doradas

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 5 fixtures

Primera A

Llaneros vs Deportes Tolima · 2026-09-07
Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali · 2026-09-11
Chico vs Junior — team news & stats · 2026-10-28
Once Caldas v Alianza Valledupar — match page · 2026-10-28
Internacional de Bogota vs Independiente Medellin · 2026-10-29
America de Cali vs Fortaleza FC — team news & stats · 2026-10-29
Atletico Nacional v Santa Fe — match page · 2026-10-30
Deportivo Pereira v Jaguares — match page · 2026-10-30

Before and after this match

Cucuta, previous: America de Cali vs Cucuta prediction
Cucuta, next: Cucuta vs Santa Fe: odds and pick
Águilas Doradas, previous: Junior vs Águilas Doradas: odds and pick
Águilas Doradas, next: Águilas Doradas v Fortaleza FC analysis

Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Cucuta	39.6%	2.52	+2.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	50.5%	1.98	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	53.3%	1.88	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	70.2%	1.42	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	51.5%	1.94	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Cucuta	39.6%
	Draw	29.8%
	Águilas Doradas	30.6%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	49.5%
	Under 2.5	50.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	53.3%
	No	46.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	69.4%
	12 (either side)	70.2%
	X2 (draw or away)	60.4%
Handicap -1	Cucuta win	25.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	22.6%
	Loss	51.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.1%
	1-0	10.0%
	2-1	9.5%

Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas stats

Cucuta and Águilas Doradas recent form

newest first

Cucuta	LWWWWL
Águilas Doradas	LWDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cucuta and Águilas Doradas going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cucuta record

They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
They have failed to score in 7 of 34 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).

Águilas Doradas record

They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
They have kept 5 clean sheets in 34 matches.
They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
They have converted 9 of 10 penalties (90%).

Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Cucuta wins 0Draws 2Águilas Doradas wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-02-07	Águilas Doradas	Cucuta	Primera A	3-2
2020-11-07	Águilas Doradas	Cucuta	Primera A	2-1
2019-07-16	Águilas Doradas	Cucuta	Primera A	1-3
2019-01-26	Cucuta	Águilas Doradas	Primera A	3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cucuta vs Águilas Doradas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.7%, draw 30.6%, away 32.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.57	2.94	2.80
Bet365	2.45	3.20	2.88
BetVictor	2.50	3.13	2.75
Betano	2.55	3.15	2.80
Dafabet	2.50	3.15	2.80
Marathonbet	2.57	2.94	2.80
Pinnacle	2.62	3.00	3.01
SBO	2.44	2.94	2.49
William Hill	2.50	2.90	2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.50 ▼ -0.07

X 3.00 ▲ +0.05

2 2.80 —

5 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-25T16:10:02Z.