Cucuta
vs
Santa Fe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Cucuta
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Cucuta vs Santa Fe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cucuta vs Santa Fe
| Probability | Cucuta | Draw | Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.6% | 30.6% | 29.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 39.6% | 30.6% | 29.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Cucuta vs Santa Fe match preview
Cucuta faces Santa Fe in their upcoming Primera A match, with Cucuta holding a 40% probability of winning, while Santa Fe has a 30% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Cucuta, with an expected goals tally of 1.27 for Cucuta and 1.07 for Santa Fe. Recent form shows Cucuta with two consecutive losses, followed by three wins, while Santa Fe has experienced a mix of results, including two wins and a loss in their last three matches.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match stands at 41%, and there is a 48% chance that both teams will score. In their last encounter, Santa Fe emerged victorious, with Cucuta yet to secure a win against them. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the forecasted outcomes.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cucuta and Santa Fe expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Cucuta and Santa Fe attack and defence ratings
Cucuta
Santa Fe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Águilas Doradas v Fortaleza FC — match page
- Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional
- Deportivo Pereira vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Millonarios vs America de Cali
- Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cucuta vs Santa Fe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 39.6% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Santa Fe | 29.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.4% |
| No | 51.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cucuta win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 60.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 11.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.0% |
Cucuta vs Santa Fe stats
Cucuta and Santa Fe recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cucuta and Santa Fe season so far
Cucuta record
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Santa Fe record
- They have won 16 of their 38 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 38 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 38 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).
Cucuta vs Santa Fe head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Santa Fe | Cucuta | Primera A | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.