Deportivo Cali
vs
Chico
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Cali
2 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.44.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Deportivo Cali vs Chico overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Chico
| Probability | Deportivo Cali | Draw | Chico |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.3% | 20.2% | 6.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.3% | 20.2% | 6.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Deportivo Cali vs Chico match preview
Deportivo Cali enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 73%, compared to Chico's 6%. The expected goals for Deportivo Cali stand at 1.96, while Chico is projected to score only 0.44. Recent form shows Deportivo Cali with a mixed bag of results, including three draws and two wins in their last six matches, while Chico has experienced more volatility with two wins and three losses in the same period.
Historically, the last three encounters between these teams have resulted in no wins for Deportivo Cali, with two draws and one victory for Chico. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0 in favor of Deportivo Cali, which aligns with their stronger performance metrics. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43%, and both teams scoring is projected at 31%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Cali and Chico expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Deportivo Cali and Chico attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Cali
Chico
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 17 fixtures
Before and after this match
Deportivo Cali vs Chico markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win | 47.5% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 73.3% |
| Draw | 20.2% | |
| Chico | 6.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.2% |
| No | 68.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win | 47.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.8% | |
| Loss | 26.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.5% |
| 1-0 | 17.0% | |
| 3-0 | 11.4% |
Deportivo Cali vs Chico stats
Deportivo Cali and Chico recent form
| Deportivo Cali |
DWDDWW |
| Chico |
WLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Cali and Chico season so far
Deportivo Cali record
- They have won 15 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chico record
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 19 of 34 matches.
Deportivo Cali vs Chico head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | Chico | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Chico | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-10 | Deportivo Cali | Chico | Primera A | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.