Fortaleza FC
vs
Deportivo Cali
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Cali
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.71.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali
| Probability | Fortaleza FC | Draw | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.5% | 28.5% | 54.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 16.5% | 28.5% | 54.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali match preview
Fortaleza FC faces Deportivo Cali in a Primera A match on October 25, 2026, with kickoff at 19:00 UTC. According to our model, Fortaleza FC has a 21% chance of winning, while Deportivo Cali's probability stands at 47%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 15%. Expected goals for Fortaleza FC are 0.77, whereas Deportivo Cali is forecasted to score 1.28.
Recent form shows Fortaleza FC struggling with six matches without a win (D-D-D-L-D-D), while Deportivo Cali has been in better shape, winning four of their last six matches (D-D-W-W-W-W). In their last three encounters, Fortaleza FC has secured 1 win, with Deportivo Cali yet to win against them. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortaleza FC and Deportivo Cali expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Fortaleza FC and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings
Fortaleza FC
Deportivo Cali
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Clausura - 16 fixtures
- Chico v Bucaramanga — match page
- Junior vs Águilas Doradas
- America de Cali vs Cucuta
- Once Caldas v Deportivo Pereira — match page
- Alianza Valledupar vs Internacional de Bogota — team news & stats
- Atletico Nacional v Independiente Medellin — match page
- Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto — team news & stats
- Jaguares vs Llaneros
Before and after this match
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza FC | 16.5% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Deportivo Cali | 54.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win | 29.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.7% | |
| Loss | 45.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-2 | 12.3% |
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali stats
Fortaleza FC and Deportivo Cali recent form
| Fortaleza FC |
LDDDLD |
| Deportivo Cali |
WDDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortaleza FC and Deportivo Cali season so far
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Deportivo Cali record
- They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortaleza FC vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Deportivo Cali | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-25 | Deportivo Cali | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-02-09 | Fortaleza FC | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.