Primera A Β· Β·Clausura - 9

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali

Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Cali

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

Estadio Bello Horizonte, Villavicencio

Llaneros 21%
Draw 28%
Deportivo Cali 51%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Deportivo Cali wins
51%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
90%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
48%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
12% of simulated outcomes

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityLlanerosDrawDeportivo Cali
Model21.0%27.9%51.1%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final21.0%27.9%51.1%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.92.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali match preview

Llaneros will host Deportivo Cali in an upcoming Primera A match, with kickoff scheduled for October 21, 2026. According to our model, Deportivo Cali holds a 51% probability of winning, while Llaneros has a 21% chance, and a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals for Llaneros is 0.91, compared to Deportivo Cali's 1.55, suggesting a potential scoreline of 0-1, which has a likelihood of 12%.

In terms of recent form, Llaneros has struggled with five losses in their last six matches, while Deportivo Cali is in strong shape, having won five consecutive games followed by a draw. The head-to-head record in their last three encounters shows an even split, with each team securing one win and one draw. The model indicates a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% probability for both teams to score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Llaneros ↓ / Deportivo Cali β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 12% 10% 1 13% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Llaneros and Deportivo Cali expected goals

Llaneros 0.92
Deportivo Cali 1.55

Total expected goals: 2.47

Llaneros and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings

Llaneros

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Deportivo Cali

Attack 1.31 +31%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Cali 51.1% 1.96 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.2% 1.81 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 51.5% 1.94 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 79.0% 1.27 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 48.9% 2.04 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Llaneros21.0%
Draw27.9%
Deportivo Cali51.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.8%
Under 2.555.2%
Both teams to scoreYes48.5%
No51.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.9%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)79.0%
Handicap -1Deportivo Cali win27.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.8%
Loss48.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.2%
0-112.0%
0-210.2%

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali stats

Llaneros and Deportivo Cali recent form

newest first
Llaneros LLWLLL
Deportivo Cali WWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Llaneros and Deportivo Cali season so far

league record

Llaneros record

  • They have won 8 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 14 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Llaneros wins 1Draws 1Deportivo Cali wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12Deportivo CaliLlanerosPrimera A1-1
2025-08-02Deportivo CaliLlanerosPrimera A0-3
2025-02-18LlanerosDeportivo CaliPrimera A0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Deportivo Cali Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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