Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 9
Llaneros
vs
Deportivo Cali
0 – 3 Full time
| 11′ | J. Martinez | ||
| 14′ | K. Sandoval | ||
| 21′ | H. H. Mena Posada | ||
| 22′ | N. Benedetti | ||
| 42′ | K. Rincon | ||
| 46′ | L. MirandaJ. Contreras | ||
| 46′ | K. RinconM. Sierra | ||
| 63′ | Titi | ||
| 66′ | J. CastillaF. Castaneda | ||
| 66′ | Y. MenaC. Cortes | ||
| 67′ | J. Ramirez | ||
| 72′ | K. SandovalJ. Moya | ||
| 73′ | N. BenedettiE. Reynoso | ||
| 79′ | J. RamirezKelvin Osorio | ||
| 81′ | H. H. Mena Posada | ||
| 81′ | H. H. Mena Posada | ||
| 85′ | TitiC. Bacca | ||
| 85′ | R. PajaroM. Correa | ||
| 87′ | E. VelascoJ. Tello |
Llaneros
31%
Draw
31%
Deportivo Cali
38%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 57 | Possession % | 43 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 4 | Saves | 2 |
| 375 | Accurate passes | 261 |
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali
| Probability | Llaneros | Draw | Deportivo Cali |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.3% | 33.5% | 44.2% |
| Market | 34.2% | 30.4% | 35.4% |
| Final | 31.2% | 31.1% | 37.6% |
| Edge | -3.0% | +0.8% | +2.2% |
Why Deportivo Cali
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportivo Cali below our published probability: +2.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
29%
No goals
16%
Llaneros and Deportivo Cali expected goals
Llaneros
0.74
Deportivo Cali
1.15
Total expected goals: 1.89
Llaneros and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings
Llaneros
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.06 +6%
Deportivo Cali
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.58 -42%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali: result vs prediction
Llaneros 0 – 3 Deportivo Cali
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 9 fixtures
- America de Cali vs Alianza Valledupar — team news & stats
- Chico v Once Caldas — match page
- Cucuta v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Santa Fe vs Fortaleza FC
- Junior vs Jaguares — team news & stats
- Internacional de Bogota vs Águilas Doradas
- Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellin
Before and after this match
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Cali | 37.6% | 2.66 | +2.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Llaneros | 31.2% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Deportivo Cali | 37.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.0% |
| No | 63.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Cali win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 55.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.4% |
| 0-1 | 16.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali stats
Llaneros and Deportivo Cali recent form
| Llaneros |
WLLLWL |
| Deportivo Cali |
DDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Llaneros and Deportivo Cali going into this match
Llaneros record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 7 penalties (57%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Cali record
- They have won 14 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Llaneros wins
1Draws
1Deportivo Cali wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Deportivo Cali | Llaneros | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-02 | Deportivo Cali | Llaneros | Primera A | 0-3 |
| 2025-02-18 | Llaneros | Deportivo Cali | Primera A | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Llaneros vs Deportivo Cali odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.2%, draw 30.4%, away 35.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 3.04 | 2.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.05 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.05 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 3.04 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 3.19 | 2.69 |
| SBO | 2.48 | 2.86 | 2.52 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.70 —
X
3.04 ▲ +0.02
2
2.61 ▼ -0.05
5 snapshots recorded, from .