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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios

1 – 1 Full time

39′Yuber Quiñones
55′Andrey Estupiñán
59′J. A. Bermudez CorreaE. A. Moreno Gomez
67′J. Monroy
69′L. Castro
71′D. RuizD. Quintero
71′A. EstupinanR. Contreras
79′S. AcostaS. Urrea
79′F. MosqueraJ. Morales
84′J. LargachaJ. Montoya
84′Y. QuinonesM. Perez
84′L. CastroJ. Angulo
89′Santiago Aguilar

Estadio Deportivo Cali, PalmiraReferee: Javier Alonso Villa Zapata

Deportivo Pereira 16%
Draw 27%
Millonarios 57%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 11
2 Shots on target 7
48 Possession % 52
2 Corners 3
13 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 2
6 Saves 1
367 Accurate passes 421

Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo PereiraDrawMillonarios
Model23.4%35.4%41.2%
Market14.1%24.1%61.8%
Final16.4%26.9%56.6%
Edge+9.4%+11.2%-20.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Millonarios

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.04 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Pere ↓ / Millonarios → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 17% 9% 1 11% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 54%
3+ goals 26%
No goals 19%

Deportivo Pereira and Millonarios expected goals

Deportivo Pereira 0.71
Millonarios 1.04

Total expected goals: 1.75

Deportivo Pereira and Millonarios attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Pereira

Attack 0.58 -42%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Millonarios

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios: result vs prediction

Deportivo Pereira 1 – 1 Millonarios

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Millonarios 56.6% 1.77 -20.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.4% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score No 65.8% 1.52 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.8% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Pereira16.4%
Draw26.9%
Millonarios56.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.6%
Under 2.574.4%
Both teams to scoreYes34.2%
No65.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)43.4%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)83.6%
Handicap -1Millonarios win16.9%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss58.8%
Correct score (top 3)0-018.7%
0-116.7%
1-114.1%

Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios stats

Deportivo Pereira and Millonarios recent form

newest first
Deportivo Pereira LWDDLL
Millonarios LDWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Pereira and Millonarios going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Pereira record

  • They have won 2 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Millonarios record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Deportivo Pereira wins 4Draws 4Millonarios wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-27MillonariosDeportivo PereiraPrimera A5-1
2025-10-15Deportivo PereiraMillonariosPrimera A3-2
2025-05-09MillonariosDeportivo PereiraPrimera A0-0
2024-11-11MillonariosDeportivo PereiraPrimera A0-0
2024-05-25Deportivo PereiraMillonariosPrimera A2-2
2024-05-12MillonariosDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-0
2024-04-20Deportivo PereiraMillonariosPrimera A1-2
2023-07-23MillonariosDeportivo PereiraPrimera A0-0
2023-01-29Deportivo PereiraMillonariosPrimera A2-3
2022-11-24Deportivo PereiraMillonariosPrimera A2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Pereira vs Millonarios odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 14.1%, draw 24.1%, away 61.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 6.61 3.84 1.51
Bet365 7.50 3.90 1.50
BetVictor 6.50 3.80 1.50
Marathonbet 6.55 3.84 1.50
Pinnacle 6.81 4.01 1.52
William Hill 6.00 3.75 1.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 6.58 ▲ +0.48
X 3.84 ▲ +0.09
2 1.50 ▼ -0.05

4 snapshots recorded, from .