Garuda Lions
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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 7

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin

0 – 3 Full time

11′Hayen Palacios
27′Halam Loboa
44′Miguel Aguirre
46′M. AguirreF. Delgado
46′H. PalaciosE. Mena Perea
48′J. Montano
52′Yony Gonzalez
54′Joaquin Varela
55′F. MosqueraM. Perez
64′Tobias Bovone
65′Kevin Mantilla
67′H. LoboaA. Martegani
67′J. QuinteroD. Moreno
67′Yony GonzalezK. Klinger
68′T. BovoneY. Quinones
68′N. RengifoA. Plata
73′C. LucumiJ. Medina
81′K. Klinger
85′J. LargachaJ. Belacazar
90′J. MontanoD. Moreno

Estadio Deportivo Cali, PalmiraReferee: Steven Camargo

Deportivo Pereira 22%
Draw 28%
Independiente Medellin 49%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 21
4 Shots on target 9
44 Possession % 56
2 Corners 4
9 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 0
5 Saves 4
344 Accurate passes 466

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo PereiraDrawIndependiente Medellin
Model29.9%35.2%35.0%
Market19.8%26.0%54.2%
Final22.3%28.3%49.4%
Edge+10.1%+9.2%-19.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Independiente Medellin

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Pere ↓ / Independiente → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 14% 1 13% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Deportivo Pereira and Independiente Medellin expected goals

Deportivo Pereira 0.87
Independiente Medellin 0.96

Total expected goals: 1.83

Deportivo Pereira and Independiente Medellin attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Pereira

Attack 0.62 -38%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Independiente Medellin

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin: result vs prediction

Deportivo Pereira 0 – 3 Independiente Medellin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 7 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Independiente Medellin 49.4% 2.02 -19.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.2% 1.39 — —
Both teams to score No 62.8% 1.59 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.7% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.1% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Pereira22.3%
Draw28.3%
Independiente Medellin49.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.8%
Under 2.572.2%
Both teams to scoreYes37.2%
No62.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.6%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)77.7%
Handicap -1Independiente Medellin win13.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss65.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.3%
1-114.7%
0-114.1%

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin stats

Deportivo Pereira and Independiente Medellin recent form

newest first
Deportivo Pereira WDDLLW
Independiente Medellin WLWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Pereira and Independiente Medellin going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Pereira record

  • They have won 2 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Independiente Medellin record

  • They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1Deportivo Pereira wins 4Draws 5Independiente Medellin wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-14Independiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-1
2025-11-07Deportivo PereiraIndependiente MedellinPrimera A1-4
2025-05-20Independiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraPrimera A2-0
2024-07-23Deportivo PereiraIndependiente MedellinPrimera A1-1
2024-01-28Independiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-0
2023-10-22Independiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-0
2023-05-07Deportivo PereiraIndependiente MedellinPrimera A3-1
2022-12-08Deportivo PereiraIndependiente MedellinPrimera A0-0
2022-12-04Independiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraPrimera A1-1
2022-09-23Independiente MedellinDeportivo PereiraPrimera A2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.8%, draw 26.0%, away 54.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.65 3.50 1.76
1xBet 4.48 3.55 1.76
Bet365 5.00 3.60 1.70
BetVictor 4.50 3.50 1.73
Betano 5.00 3.70 1.80
Betfair 4.50 3.70 1.73
Dafabet 5.00 3.60 1.69
Marathonbet 4.65 3.60 1.71
Pinnacle 4.90 3.78 1.72
Superbet 4.80 3.65 1.70
Unibet 4.80 3.65 1.72
William Hill 4.20 3.40 1.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 4.72 ▲ +0.02
X 3.60 —
2 1.73 ▲ +0.01

8 snapshots recorded, from .