Cucuta
vs
Alianza Valledupar
1 – 0 Full time
Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar
| Probability | Cucuta | Draw | Alianza Valledupar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.2% | 32.6% | 33.2% |
| Market | 42.2% | 30.4% | 27.4% |
| Final | 40.2% | 31.0% | 28.9% |
| Edge | -8.0% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
Why Cucuta
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar attack and defence ratings
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar: result vs prediction
Cucuta 1 – 0 Alianza Valledupar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Chico vs Fortaleza FC
- America de Cali v Junior — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Llaneros vs Millonarios
- Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas
Before and after this match
Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 40.2% | 2.49 | -8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 40.2% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Alianza Valledupar | 28.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.6% |
| No | 56.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cucuta win | 14.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 65.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.6% |
Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar stats
Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar recent form
| Cucuta |
WDLDLL |
| Alianza Valledupar |
DLLDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar going into this match
Cucuta record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Alianza Valledupar record
- They have won 3 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Alianza Valledupar | Cucuta | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2020-02-08 | Cucuta | Alianza Valledupar | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2019-10-06 | Cucuta | Alianza Valledupar | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2019-04-14 | Alianza Valledupar | Cucuta | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2019-03-21 | Alianza Valledupar | Cucuta | Copa Colombia | 1-1 |
| 2019-03-15 | Cucuta | Alianza Valledupar | Copa Colombia | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 30.4%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.35 |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.02 | 3.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.00 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.16 | 3.10 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.02 | 3.36 |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.19 | 3.79 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 2.85 | 3.26 |
| Superbet | 2.25 | 3.05 | 3.40 |
| Unibet | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.65 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .