Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 7
Internacional de Bogota
vs
Deportivo Pasto
1 – 1 Full time
Internacional de Bogota
53%
Draw
27%
Deportivo Pasto
20%
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto
| Probability | Internacional de Bogota | Draw | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.7% | 23.9% | 20.4% |
| Market | 52.1% | 28.3% | 19.6% |
| Final | 53.0% | 27.2% | 19.8% |
| Edge | +3.6% | -4.4% | +0.7% |
Why Internacional de Bogota
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Internacional de Bogota below the model: +3.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
82%
3+ goals
59%
No goals
6%
Internacional de Bogota and Deportivo Pasto expected goals
Internacional de Bogota
1.95
Deportivo Pasto
1.12
Total expected goals: 3.06
Internacional de Bogota and Deportivo Pasto attack and defence ratings
Internacional de Bogota
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.48 +48%
Deportivo Pasto
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.36 +36%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto: result vs prediction
Internacional de Bogota 1 – 1 Deportivo Pasto
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- Chico vs Fortaleza FC
- America de Cali v Junior — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Llaneros vs Millonarios
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas
Before and after this match
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional de Bogota | 53.0% | 1.89 | +3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Internacional de Bogota | 53.0% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Deportivo Pasto | 19.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Internacional de Bogota win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto stats
Internacional de Bogota and Deportivo Pasto recent form
| Internacional de Bogota |
DDLWLL |
| Deportivo Pasto |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Internacional de Bogota and Deportivo Pasto going into this match
Internacional de Bogota record
- They have won 8 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Deportivo Pasto record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Internacional de Bogota wins
6Draws
2Deportivo Pasto wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Deportivo Pasto | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-31 | Internacional de Bogota | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Deportivo Pasto | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-11 | Internacional de Bogota | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-23 | Deportivo Pasto | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 2-3 |
| 2023-10-08 | Internacional de Bogota | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-26 | Deportivo Pasto | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-21 | Internacional de Bogota | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 2-3 |
| 2022-03-29 | Deportivo Pasto | Internacional de Bogota | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2021-07-28 | Internacional de Bogota | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 28.3%, away 19.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.80 | 3.35 | 4.55 |
| 1xBet | 1.80 | 3.22 | 4.84 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.30 | 4.70 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.35 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 3.22 | 4.85 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.30 | 5.24 |
| SBO | 1.93 | 2.93 | 3.46 |
| Superbet | 1.80 | 3.35 | 4.70 |
| Unibet | 1.76 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.79 ▼ -0.15
X
3.30 —
2
4.75 ▲ +0.90
13 snapshots recorded, from .