Chico
vs
Fortaleza FC
0 – 0 Full time
Chico vs Fortaleza FC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chico vs Fortaleza FC
| Probability | Chico | Draw | Fortaleza FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.1% | 28.5% | 51.4% |
| Market | 34.6% | 32.1% | 33.3% |
| Final | 31.0% | 31.2% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -14.5% | -3.7% | +18.2% |
Why Fortaleza FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fortaleza FC below the model: +18.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chico and Fortaleza FC expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.37
Chico and Fortaleza FC attack and defence ratings
Chico
Fortaleza FC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chico vs Fortaleza FC: result vs prediction
Chico 0 – 0 Fortaleza FC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 7 fixtures
- Cucuta v Alianza Valledupar — match page
- America de Cali v Junior — match page
- Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
- Llaneros vs Millonarios
- Internacional de Bogota v Deportivo Pasto — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin
- Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima — team news & stats
- Bucaramanga vs Águilas Doradas
Before and after this match
Chico vs Fortaleza FC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza FC | 37.8% | 2.65 | +18.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.6% | 2.06 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chico | 31.0% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| Fortaleza FC | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.1% |
| No | 53.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortaleza FC win | 27.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 48.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 0-1 | 12.9% | |
| 0-2 | 10.7% |
Chico vs Fortaleza FC stats
Chico and Fortaleza FC recent form
| Chico |
LLLWLL |
| Fortaleza FC |
LWLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chico and Fortaleza FC going into this match
Chico record
- They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 25 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Chico vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 | Fortaleza FC | Chico | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-10-14 | Fortaleza FC | Chico | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-21 | Chico | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 0-2 |
| 2024-09-01 | Chico | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-23 | Fortaleza FC | Chico | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-29 | Fortaleza FC | Chico | Primera B | 0-2 |
| 2022-10-25 | Chico | Fortaleza FC | Primera B | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-24 | Chico | Fortaleza FC | Primera B | 0-0 |
| 2022-08-27 | Fortaleza FC | Chico | Primera B | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chico vs Fortaleza FC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.6%, draw 32.1%, away 33.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.68 | 2.96 | 2.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.69 | 2.85 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.72 | 2.85 | 2.85 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.69 | 2.85 | 2.80 |
| Pinnacle | 2.76 | 2.93 | 2.91 |
| SBO | 2.47 | 2.80 | 2.56 |
| Superbet | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.75 |
| Unibet | 2.70 | 2.90 | 2.88 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .