Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Águilas Doradas vs Chico

2 – 2 Full time

-5′Jacobo Pimentel
42′J. Pimentel
44′S. Salazar
46′A. VasquezJ. E. Avalo Trejos
46′I. RojasR. Marquez
46′J. NogueraJ. Melendez
58′E. SarriaS. Navarro
58′J. PimentelS. Viveros
58′A. MayaI. Camargo
63′R. Marquez
70′Sebastian Salazar
77′M. RamirezA. Carreno
83′J. AlomiaD. Polanco
83′S. MeraF. Cifuentes
84′A. Mosquera
86′J. MenaF. A. Suarez Chalare

Estadio Cincuentenario, MedellinReferee: Carlos Ortega

Águilas Doradas 62%
Draw 24%
Chico 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 3
6 Shots on target 3
83 Possession % 17
9 Corners 2
4 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 4
336 Accurate passes 38

Águilas Doradas vs Chico overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Chico

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityÁguilas DoradasDrawChico
Model73.0%19.2%7.8%
Market58.8%25.7%15.5%
Final62.3%24.1%13.6%
Edge+14.2%-6.6%-7.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Águilas Doradas

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.14 vs 0.58.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Águilas Doradas below the model: +14.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Águilas Dorada ↓ / Chico → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 13% 9% 2 15% 9% 3 11% 4+ 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 7%

Águilas Doradas and Chico expected goals

Águilas Doradas 2.14
Chico 0.58

Total expected goals: 2.73

Águilas Doradas and Chico attack and defence ratings

Águilas Doradas

Attack 1.04 +4%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Chico

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 1.48 +48%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Águilas Doradas vs Chico: result vs prediction

Águilas Doradas 2 – 2 Chico

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Águilas Doradas vs Chico markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Águilas Doradas 62.3% 1.60 +14.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.5% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score No 60.3% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.4% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Águilas Doradas win 48.7% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Águilas Doradas62.3%
Draw24.1%
Chico13.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.5%
Under 2.548.5%
Both teams to scoreYes39.7%
No60.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.4%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)37.7%
Handicap -1Águilas Doradas win48.7%
Push (exactly one goal)24.0%
Loss27.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-015.1%
1-013.2%
3-010.8%

Águilas Doradas vs Chico stats

Águilas Doradas and Chico recent form

newest first
Águilas Doradas DDWWWD
Chico DLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Águilas Doradas and Chico going into this match

league record before kick-off

Águilas Doradas record

  • They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Chico record

  • They have won 6 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 25 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Águilas Doradas vs Chico head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

2Águilas Doradas wins 1Draws 0Chico wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22ChicoÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-1
2025-08-16Águilas DoradasChicoPrimera A2-0
2025-03-01ChicoÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Águilas Doradas vs Chico odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 25.7%, away 15.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.58 3.65 6.20
1xBet 1.59 3.62 5.92
Betano 1.60 3.55 6.00
Betfair 1.57 3.80 5.50
Dafabet 1.57 3.60 6.00
Marathonbet 1.58 3.60 5.95
Pinnacle 1.59 3.61 6.09
Unibet 1.57 3.80 6.10
William Hill 1.60 3.40 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.58 —
X 3.61 ▼ -0.19
2 6.00 ▲ +0.18

5 snapshots recorded, from .