Águilas Doradas
vs
Millonarios
1 – 1 Full time
Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios
| Probability | Águilas Doradas | Draw | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 30.0% | 31.3% |
| Market | 24.6% | 29.1% | 46.3% |
| Final | 28.1% | 29.4% | 42.5% |
| Edge | +14.1% | +0.9% | -15.0% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Águilas Doradas and Millonarios expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Águilas Doradas and Millonarios attack and defence ratings
Águilas Doradas
Millonarios
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios: result vs prediction
Águilas Doradas 1 – 1 Millonarios
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millonarios | 42.5% | 2.35 | -15.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Águilas Doradas | 28.1% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Millonarios | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.3% |
| No | 49.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millonarios win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 68.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.2% | |
| 1-0 | 10.2% |
Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios stats
Águilas Doradas and Millonarios recent form
| Águilas Doradas |
DWWWDL |
| Millonarios |
WWLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Águilas Doradas and Millonarios going into this match
Águilas Doradas record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Millonarios record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Millonarios | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Águilas Doradas | Millonarios | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-16 | Millonarios | Águilas Doradas | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Águilas Doradas vs Millonarios odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.1%, draw 29.0%, away 45.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.16 |
| 1xBet | 3.86 | 3.15 | 2.01 |
| 888Sport | 3.25 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.00 |
| Betano | 3.90 | 3.10 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.20 | 2.06 |
| Marathonbet | 3.85 | 3.15 | 1.99 |
| Pinnacle | 4.08 | 3.17 | 2.04 |
| SBO | 3.20 | 3.02 | 1.97 |
| Superbet | 3.65 | 3.20 | 2.07 |
| Unibet | 3.85 | 3.30 | 2.00 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.10 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .