Deportivo Pasto
vs
Llaneros
0 – 1 Full time
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros
| Probability | Deportivo Pasto | Draw | Llaneros |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.2% | 30.6% | 38.3% |
| Market | 47.7% | 29.7% | 22.6% |
| Final | 43.6% | 29.9% | 26.5% |
| Edge | -16.6% | +0.9% | +15.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Pasto and Llaneros expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Deportivo Pasto and Llaneros attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Pasto
Llaneros
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros: result vs prediction
Deportivo Pasto 0 – 1 Llaneros
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pasto | 43.6% | 2.29 | -16.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Pasto | 43.6% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Llaneros | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Pasto win | 12.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 68.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.9% | |
| 0-1 | 10.6% |
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros stats
Deportivo Pasto and Llaneros recent form
| Deportivo Pasto |
LLLLLL |
| Llaneros |
DWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Pasto and Llaneros going into this match
Deportivo Pasto record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Llaneros record
- They have won 7 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 | Llaneros | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Llaneros | Deportivo Pasto | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-08 | Deportivo Pasto | Llaneros | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.7%, draw 29.7%, away 22.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.96 | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 3.12 | 4.20 |
| 888Sport | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.98 | 3.10 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.30 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.97 | 3.15 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.92 | 3.12 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.19 | 4.44 |
| SBO | 1.96 | 2.92 | 3.38 |
| Superbet | 1.97 | 3.15 | 4.10 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.30 | 4.35 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .