Deportes Tolima
vs
Bucaramanga
0 – 0 Full time
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga
| Probability | Deportes Tolima | Draw | Bucaramanga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.0% | 27.3% | 26.7% |
| Market | 40.5% | 31.1% | 28.4% |
| Final | 41.9% | 30.1% | 28.0% |
| Edge | +5.5% | -3.8% | -1.7% |
Why Deportes Tolima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.16.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportes Tolima below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga attack and defence ratings
Deportes Tolima
Bucaramanga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga: result vs prediction
Deportes Tolima 0 – 0 Bucaramanga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 6 fixtures
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- Alianza Valledupar vs Deportivo Pereira
- Águilas Doradas v Millonarios — match page
- Santa Fe vs America de Cali
- Independiente Medellin v Cucuta — match page
- Fortaleza FC vs Atletico Nacional — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto vs Llaneros
- Deportivo Cali v Internacional de Bogota — match page
Before and after this match
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportes Tolima | 41.9% | 2.39 | +5.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportes Tolima | 41.9% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Bucaramanga | 28.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportes Tolima win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 54.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 1-0 | 9.0% |
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga stats
Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga recent form
| Deportes Tolima |
LWLWWD |
| Bucaramanga |
WDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportes Tolima and Bucaramanga going into this match
Deportes Tolima record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Bucaramanga record
- They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-12-04 | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Deportes Tolima | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-19 | Bucaramanga | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Deportes Tolima | Bucaramanga | Primera A | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportes Tolima vs Bucaramanga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 31.3%, away 28.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.26 | 2.92 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 2.92 | 3.37 |
| 888Sport | 2.30 | 2.88 | 3.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.35 | 3.10 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.10 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.32 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Betfair | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.30 | 3.05 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.28 | 2.92 | 3.35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36 | 2.94 | 3.51 |
| SBO | 2.17 | 2.90 | 2.89 |
| Superbet | 2.32 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Unibet | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .