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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga

1 – 1 Full time

40′Freddy Hinestroza
40′José Ortiz
45′Fabián Sambueza
60′J. MartinezE. Bello
63′F. HinestrozaA. Gutierrez
63′L. FloresFabry
68′J. DinennoC. Bacca
72′J. Garcia
74′N. BenedettiF. Viafara
74′D. GiraldoA. Hurtado
84′N. CastrillonK. Londono
86′Eduard Bello
86′F. SambuezaB. Caicedo
86′L. PonsJ. Salazar
90′José Caldera
90′Carlos Bacca
90′Keimer Sandoval
90′Fredy Salazar
90′José García
90′L. Chaverra

Estadio Deportivo Cali, PalmiraReferee: Bautista, Jose

Deportivo Cali 47%
Draw 30%
Bucaramanga 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
66 Possession % 34
1 Corners 2
10 Fouls 20
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 3
431 Accurate passes 182

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo CaliDrawBucaramanga
Model48.5%30.1%21.5%
Market46.8%30.2%23.1%
Final47.2%30.1%22.7%
Edge+1.7%-0.1%-1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.38 vs 0.84.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Cali ↓ / Bucaramanga → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 8% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Deportivo Cali and Bucaramanga expected goals

Deportivo Cali 1.38
Bucaramanga 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.22

Deportivo Cali and Bucaramanga attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Cali

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Bucaramanga

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga: result vs prediction

Deportivo Cali 1 – 1 Bucaramanga

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Cali 47.2% 2.12 +1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score No 56.3% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.3% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.6% 1.94 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Cali47.2%
Draw30.1%
Bucaramanga22.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.2%
Under 2.561.8%
Both teams to scoreYes43.7%
No56.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.3%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)52.8%
Handicap -1Deportivo Cali win24.1%
Push (exactly one goal)24.3%
Loss51.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.8%
1-013.8%
0-012.1%

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga stats

Deportivo Cali and Bucaramanga recent form

newest first
Deportivo Cali LDWLWD
Bucaramanga DWDDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Cali and Bucaramanga going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 9 of their 25 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 25 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 25 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bucaramanga record

  • They have won 7 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 24 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Deportivo Cali wins 4Draws 3Bucaramanga wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-11Deportivo CaliBucaramangaCopa Colombia2-0
2026-02-21BucaramangaDeportivo CaliPrimera A0-0
2025-07-28BucaramangaDeportivo CaliPrimera A2-3
2025-06-02BucaramangaDeportivo CaliCopa Colombia3-1
2025-02-15Deportivo CaliBucaramangaPrimera A0-0
2024-10-27Deportivo CaliBucaramangaPrimera A1-0
2024-04-06BucaramangaDeportivo CaliPrimera A2-1
2023-08-29BucaramangaDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-0
2023-03-11Deportivo CaliBucaramangaPrimera A1-1
2022-09-12Deportivo CaliBucaramangaPrimera A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.8%, draw 30.2%, away 23.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.96 3.15 4.10
1xBet 1.98 3.12 4.06
Bet365 2.00 3.10 4.10
BetVictor 2.00 3.13 3.75
Betano 2.02 3.00 4.10
Betfair 1.95 3.25 3.90
Dafabet 2.05 3.10 3.90
Marathonbet 1.96 3.12 4.05
Pinnacle 2.02 3.16 4.21
SBO 2.00 2.86 3.34
Superbet 2.07 3.10 3.85
Unibet 1.98 3.05 4.30
William Hill 2.05 2.90 3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▲ +0.01
X 3.10 —
2 4.05 ▲ +0.10

3 snapshots recorded, from .