Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 8
Deportes Tolima
vs
Cucuta
2 – 1 Full time
| 28′ | Anderson Angulo | ||
| 32′ | Luis Sánchez | ||
| 45′ | Cristian Arrieta | ||
| 45′ | Victor Mejia | ||
| 46′ | D. CalcaterraL. Ochoa | ||
| 47′ | L. Sanchez | ||
| 57′ | E. M. Duarte BarajasK. Tamayo | ||
| 57′ | V. MejiaJ. Ceballos | ||
| 66′ | H. E. Martinez YepezJ. Mosquera | ||
| 66′ | L. SanchezE. Valencia | ||
| 69′ | K. Florez | ||
| 72′ | Y. AboniaG. Torres | ||
| 79′ | K. FlorezJ. Hurtado | ||
| 79′ | J. AgudeloJ. Diaz | ||
| 81′ | Jherson Mosquera | ||
| 83′ | Gustavo Torres | ||
| 86′ | Jherson Mosquera | ||
| 86′ | Jherson Mosquera | ||
| 90′ | Deportes TolimaS. Aguayo | ||
| 90′ | G. Torres |
Deportes Tolima
63%
Draw
23%
Cucuta
14%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 55 | Possession % | 45 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 4 | Offsides | 3 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 392 | Accurate passes | 294 |
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta
| Probability | Deportes Tolima | Draw | Cucuta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 29.2% | 20.2% |
| Market | 67.6% | 20.7% | 11.7% |
| Final | 63.4% | 22.8% | 13.8% |
| Edge | -17.0% | +8.4% | +8.5% |
Why Deportes Tolima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.83.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Deportes Tolima and Cucuta expected goals
Deportes Tolima
1.45
Cucuta
0.83
Total expected goals: 2.28
Deportes Tolima and Cucuta attack and defence ratings
Deportes Tolima
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Cucuta
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta: result vs prediction
Deportes Tolima 2 – 1 Cucuta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 8 fixtures
- Jaguares vs America de Cali
- Junior v Santa Fe — match page
- Alianza Valledupar vs Atletico Nacional — team news & stats
- Águilas Doradas vs Chico
- Independiente Medellin v Llaneros — match page
- Millonarios vs Internacional de Bogota — team news & stats
- Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga — team news & stats
- Deportivo Pasto v Deportivo Pereira — match page
Before and after this match
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportes Tolima | 63.4% | 1.58 | -17.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportes Tolima | 63.4% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Cucuta | 13.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 36.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportes Tolima win | 26.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.6% |
| 1-1 | 13.5% | |
| 0-0 | 11.4% |
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta stats
Deportes Tolima and Cucuta recent form
| Deportes Tolima |
LDLWLW |
| Cucuta |
WWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportes Tolima and Cucuta going into this match
Deportes Tolima record
- They have won 15 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).
Cucuta record
- They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
4Deportes Tolima wins
1Draws
2Cucuta wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 3-2 |
| 2020-11-19 | Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | Copa Colombia | 0-3 |
| 2020-10-11 | Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 0-3 |
| 2019-11-20 | Deportes Tolima | Cucuta | Primera A | 0-1 |
| 2019-11-18 | Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 0-0 |
| 2019-10-19 | Deportes Tolima | Cucuta | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2019-04-29 | Cucuta | Deportes Tolima | Primera A | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 67.6%, draw 20.7%, away 11.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.38 | 4.40 | 8.40 |
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 4.45 | 8.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.50 | 8.00 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 4.50 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 4.60 | 7.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 4.45 | 8.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.40 | 4.52 | 8.11 |
| SBO | 1.33 | 4.13 | 6.86 |
| Superbet | 1.40 | 4.55 | 7.00 |
| Unibet | 1.40 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.20 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.38 ▼ -0.01
X
4.50 ▲ +0.10
2
8.00 ▲ +0.30
3 snapshots recorded, from .