Garuda Lions
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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 8

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira

1 – 2 Full time

5′J. Monroy
21′M. S. Jimenez
27′Geovanni Banguera
30′P. PreciadoE. A. Cabezas Quinonez
36′Jorge Bermúdez
41′J. Largacha
46′H. GoyesH. Valencia
47′Matías Pisano
58′Miguel Aguirre
66′F. MosqueraF. Delgado
67′M. AguirreN. Rengifo
71′M. S. JimenezJ. Micolta Piedahita
71′M. GilJ. Perlaza
75′J. LargachaW. Pacheco
75′M. PerezA. Plata
77′Diego Chávez
78′D. ChavezJ. Mendez
83′Fabio Delgado
88′J. MonroyR. Renteria

Estadio Departamental Libertad, PastoReferee: Colmenares Perez, Camilo Alejandro

Deportivo Pasto 57%
Draw 27%
Deportivo Pereira 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

25 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 3
55 Possession % 45
8 Corners 3
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 2
1 Saves 4
380 Accurate passes 299

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo PastoDrawDeportivo Pereira
Model41.9%36.3%21.8%
Market62.0%23.8%14.2%
Final56.9%26.9%16.1%
Edge-20.1%+12.5%+7.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Pasto

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.01 vs 0.65.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Past ↓ / Deportivo Pere → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 11% 1 18% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 50%
3+ goals 23%
No goals 20%

Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira expected goals

Deportivo Pasto 1.01
Deportivo Pereira 0.65

Total expected goals: 1.65

Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Pasto

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 1.33 +33%

Deportivo Pereira

Attack 0.50 -50%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira: result vs prediction

Deportivo Pasto 1 – 2 Deportivo Pereira

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 8 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Pasto 56.9% 1.76 -20.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76.9% 1.30 — —
Both teams to score No 68.5% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.9% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Pasto56.9%
Draw26.9%
Deportivo Pereira16.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.523.1%
Under 2.576.9%
Both teams to scoreYes31.5%
No68.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.9%
12 (either side)73.1%
X2 (draw or away)43.1%
Handicap -1Deportivo Pasto win16.9%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.4%
1-018.0%
1-113.7%

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira stats

Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira recent form

newest first
Deportivo Pasto DLLLLL
Deportivo Pereira DDLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Pasto and Deportivo Pereira going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Pasto record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pereira record

  • They have won 2 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 24 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 14 of 24 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Deportivo Pasto wins 3Draws 4Deportivo Pereira wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-21Deportivo PereiraDeportivo PastoPrimera A2-2
2025-10-28Deportivo PastoDeportivo PereiraPrimera A4-0
2025-05-14Deportivo PereiraDeportivo PastoPrimera A1-0
2024-07-29Deportivo PastoDeportivo PereiraPrimera A2-0
2024-01-31Deportivo PereiraDeportivo PastoPrimera A0-1
2023-09-13Deportivo PereiraDeportivo PastoPrimera A2-1
2023-03-31Deportivo PastoDeportivo PereiraPrimera A0-0
2022-10-02Deportivo PereiraDeportivo PastoPrimera A2-0
2022-04-12Deportivo PastoDeportivo PereiraPrimera A2-2
2021-09-17Deportivo PereiraDeportivo PastoCopa Colombia2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Pasto vs Deportivo Pereira odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.0%, draw 23.8%, away 14.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.48 3.90 7.40
1xBet 1.54 3.76 6.33
Bet365 1.45 4.00 7.50
BetVictor 1.50 3.80 6.50
Betano 1.52 4.20 7.60
Betfair 1.50 3.80 6.50
Dafabet 1.47 4.10 6.80
Marathonbet 1.51 3.78 6.55
Pinnacle 1.56 3.93 6.49
SBO 1.48 3.48 5.42
Superbet 1.47 4.10 6.60
Unibet 1.49 3.95 7.00
William Hill 1.53 3.60 6.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▲ +0.06
X 3.90 ▼ -0.10
2 6.55 ▼ -0.59

3 snapshots recorded, from .