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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 9

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto

2 – 2 Full time

-5′Leison Ochoa
14′P. Preciado
16′Neneco
19′Carlos Rentería
28′M. B. Carabali LopezJ. E. Manyoma Cordoba
31′B. Montano
46′Carlos Rentería
46′Carlos Rentería
46′E. C. Serje OrozcoD. Osede
46′H. MancillaY. Goez
46′D. ChavezM. Gil
51′Santiago Jiménez
52′B. RodriguezV. Mejia
52′J. RiosH. Valencia
66′Heiler Moreno
69′M. PisanoA. Ibarguen
74′Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez
77′Jader Manyoma
77′Patrick Preciado
83′CucutaL. Ochoa
83′L. BerdugoK. Londono
84′P. Preciado
85′Patrick Preciado
85′Patrick Preciado
88′Nicolas Gil Uribe
90′Kevin Londoño
90′Heiler Moreno
90′Yeiler Góez
90′Heiler Moreno

Estadio General Santander, CucutaReferee: Wilmar Roldan

Cucuta 47%
Draw 29%
Deportivo Pasto 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 4
38 Possession % 62
2 Corners 5
16 Fouls 14
5 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
212 Accurate passes 388

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCucutaDrawDeportivo Pasto
Model51.4%28.2%20.4%
Market45.4%29.4%25.2%
Final46.9%29.1%24.0%
Edge+5.9%-1.1%-4.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Cucuta

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.53 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Cucuta below the model: +5.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Cucuta ↓ / Deportivo Past → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 13% 13% 2 11% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Cucuta and Deportivo Pasto expected goals

Cucuta 1.53
Deportivo Pasto 0.88

Total expected goals: 2.41

Cucuta and Deportivo Pasto attack and defence ratings

Cucuta

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Deportivo Pasto

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto: result vs prediction

Cucuta 2 – 2 Deportivo Pasto

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 9 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Cucuta 46.9% 2.13 +5.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56.8% 1.76 — —
Both teams to score No 53.0% 1.89 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.6% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Cucuta46.9%
Draw29.1%
Deportivo Pasto24.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543.2%
Under 2.556.8%
Both teams to scoreYes47.0%
No53.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.0%
12 (either side)70.9%
X2 (draw or away)53.1%
Handicap -1Cucuta win27.3%
Push (exactly one goal)24.1%
Loss48.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-012.6%
2-010.5%

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto stats

Cucuta and Deportivo Pasto recent form

newest first
Cucuta LWWDLD
Deportivo Pasto LDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Cucuta and Deportivo Pasto going into this match

league record before kick-off

Cucuta record

  • They have won 5 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 26 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 26 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Deportivo Pasto record

  • They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Cucuta wins 1Draws 3Deportivo Pasto wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Deportivo PastoCucutaPrimera A3-2
2020-02-17CucutaDeportivo PastoPrimera A0-0
2019-09-28Deportivo PastoCucutaPrimera A2-1
2019-04-03CucutaDeportivo PastoPrimera A1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.4%, draw 29.4%, away 25.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.07 3.14 3.68
Bet365 2.05 3.30 3.75
BetVictor 2.05 3.20 3.50
Marathonbet 2.05 3.14 3.66
Pinnacle 2.09 3.23 3.84
William Hill 2.05 3.00 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 —
X 3.17 —
2 3.69 ▲ +0.09

2 snapshots recorded, from .