Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 10
Cucuta
vs
Millonarios
1 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | Kevin Zapata | ||
| 27′ | Samuel Martín DíazSebastián Viveros del Castillo | ||
| 45′ | Kevin ZapataMauricio Duarte | ||
| 58′ | Rodrigo Ureña | ||
| 61′ | Yair Abonia Breyner Rodríguez | ||
| 65′ | Leonardo CastroRodrigo Contreras | ||
| 65′ | Lucas riosJesus Diaz | ||
| 65′ | J. ManyomaSebastián Tamara | ||
| 76′ | Darwin QuinteroDaniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera | ||
| 78′ | Jaine BarreiroAndrés Llinás | ||
| 78′ | Diego CalcaterraDayan David Pérez Gélvez | ||
| 79′ | Gustavo Torres | ||
| 84′ | Rodrigo Contreras | ||
| 86′ | Andrey EstupinanSebastián Valencia | ||
| 90′ | Francisco Chaverra |
Cucuta
23%
Draw
28%
Millonarios
48%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 9 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 6 | Saves | 7 |
| 238 | Accurate passes | 273 |
Cucuta vs Millonarios overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cucuta vs Millonarios
| Probability | Cucuta | Draw | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.1% | 31.1% | 38.9% |
| Market | 21.0% | 27.5% | 51.6% |
| Final | 23.2% | 28.4% | 48.4% |
| Edge | +9.1% | +3.6% | -12.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
12%
Cucuta and Millonarios expected goals
Cucuta
1.05
Millonarios
1.23
Total expected goals: 2.27
Cucuta and Millonarios attack and defence ratings
Cucuta
Attack
0.87 -13%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Millonarios
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cucuta vs Millonarios: result vs prediction
Cucuta 1 – 2 Millonarios
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Clausura - 10 fixtures
- Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC
- Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima
- Internacional de Bogota vs Llaneros
- Chico v Independiente Medellin — match page
- Alianza Valledupar v Junior — match page
- Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga — team news & stats
- Atletico Nacional v Águilas Doradas — match page
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Cucuta vs Millonarios markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Millonarios | 48.4% | 2.07 | -12.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cucuta | 23.2% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Millonarios | 48.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.1% |
| No | 52.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 51.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Millonarios win | 17.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-1 | 11.3% |
Cucuta vs Millonarios stats
Cucuta and Millonarios recent form
| Cucuta |
DLWWDL |
| Millonarios |
DDLDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cucuta and Millonarios going into this match
Cucuta record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Millonarios record
- They have won 10 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Cucuta vs Millonarios head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Cucuta wins
2Draws
3Millonarios wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Millonarios | Cucuta | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | Cucuta | Millonarios | Copa Colombia | 1-1 |
| 2023-11-03 | Millonarios | Cucuta | Copa Colombia | 1-0 |
| 2020-01-30 | Cucuta | Millonarios | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2019-10-03 | Cucuta | Millonarios | Primera A | 3-1 |
| 2019-04-08 | Millonarios | Cucuta | Primera A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cucuta vs Millonarios odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 20.9%, draw 27.4%, away 51.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.43 | 3.40 | 1.81 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 4.50 | 3.50 | 1.75 |
| Marathonbet | 4.45 | 3.40 | 1.79 |
| Pinnacle | 4.47 | 3.48 | 1.83 |
| SBO | 3.73 | 3.12 | 1.79 |
| Unibet | 4.70 | 3.55 | 1.75 |
| William Hill | 4.33 | 3.25 | 1.83 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
4.45 ▲ +0.05
X
3.40 ▼ -0.08
2
1.81 ▲ +0.04
8 snapshots recorded, from .