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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta

3 – 0 Full time

39′Eduard Bello
45′Victor MejiaLeider Berdugo
45′Jhon QuinonesHernán Lópes
45′Nicolás BenedettiAvilés Hurtado
52′Eduard Bello
62′Johan MartinezEmanuel Reynoso
62′Juan DinennoSteven Rodríguez
64′Juan CeballosKevin Londoño
68′Eduard BelloAlexis Castillo Manyoma
72′Diego Calcaterra
73′Yair Abonia J. Manyoma
77′Edwin Velasco
77′Kevin ZapataDayan David Pérez Gélvez
84′Steven Rodríguez
84′Steven Rodríguez
87′Gustavo CuéllarSantiago Andrés Martínez Silvera
90′Brayan Montano

Estadio Deportivo Cali, PalmiraReferee: Carlos Ortega

Deportivo Cali 63%
Draw 24%
Cucuta 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 5
7 Shots on target 2
52 Possession % 48
5 Corners 1
10 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
396 Accurate passes 344

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo CaliDrawCucuta
Model61.5%24.9%13.7%
Market63.5%23.2%13.2%
Final63.0%23.7%13.4%
Edge-2.1%+1.6%+0.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Deportivo Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.72.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Cali ↓ / Cucuta → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 14% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 9%

Deportivo Cali and Cucuta expected goals

Deportivo Cali 1.76
Cucuta 0.72

Total expected goals: 2.48

Deportivo Cali and Cucuta attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Cali

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Cucuta

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta: result vs prediction

Deportivo Cali 3 – 0 Cucuta

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Cali 63.0% 1.59 -2.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 54.7% 1.83 — —
Both teams to score No 56.4% 1.77 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.6% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 38.6% 2.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Cali63.0%
Draw23.7%
Cucuta13.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.545.3%
Under 2.554.7%
Both teams to scoreYes43.6%
No56.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.6%
12 (either side)76.3%
X2 (draw or away)37.0%
Handicap -1Deportivo Cali win36.2%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss38.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.7%
2-013.0%
1-111.6%

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta stats

Deportivo Cali and Cucuta recent form

newest first
Deportivo Cali WDDLDW
Cucuta LDLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Cali and Cucuta going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Cucuta record

  • They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

3Deportivo Cali wins 1Draws 0Cucuta wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14CucutaDeportivo CaliPrimera A0-2
2020-09-23CucutaDeportivo CaliPrimera A3-3
2019-09-22CucutaDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-4
2019-03-31Deportivo CaliCucutaPrimera A2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.0%, draw 23.0%, away 13.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.46 3.95 7.05
Bet365 1.50 4.33 6.00
BetVictor 1.45 4.00 7.00
Betano 1.57 4.25 6.60
Betfair 1.50 4.00 6.50
Marathonbet 1.45 3.95 6.95
Pinnacle 1.49 4.10 7.33
SBO 1.44 3.49 5.32
William Hill 1.44 3.80 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 ▼ -0.01
X 3.98 ▲ +0.04
2 6.97 ▼ -0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .