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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota

2 – 0 Full time

13′Luciano Pons
35′José Daniel García Aragón
53′Facundo Boné
61′Dewar VictoriaRuben Manjarres
61′Johan CaballeroRonaldo Junior Julio Tobías
64′Joan Castro
74′Felix CharrupiLeonardo Flores
74′Fredy HinestrozaAdrián Murillo
74′José Daniel García AragónMartín Rea
79′Jose Ortiz
79′Facundo BonéDiego Duarte
81′Fredy SalazarKevin Londoño
90′Emerson Batalla
90′Emerson Batalla
90′Yulian GomezYeider García
90′Emerson BatallaVictor Cantillo

Estadio Américo Montanini, BucaramangaReferee: Diego Ulloa Angulo

Bucaramanga 58%
Draw 25%
Internacional de Bogota 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
43 Possession % 57
2 Corners 11
10 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3
4 Saves 2
283 Accurate passes 391

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBucaramangaDrawInternacional de Bogota
Model63.8%19.6%16.6%
Market55.8%26.2%18.1%
Final57.8%24.5%17.7%
Edge+8.0%-6.5%-1.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Bucaramanga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.44 vs 1.21.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Bucaramanga below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bucaramanga ↓ / Internacional → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 8% 9% 6% 3 6% 8% 4+ 7% 8% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Bucaramanga and Internacional de Bogota expected goals

Bucaramanga 2.44
Internacional de Bogota 1.21

Total expected goals: 3.66

Bucaramanga and Internacional de Bogota attack and defence ratings

Bucaramanga

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Internacional de Bogota

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota: result vs prediction

Bucaramanga 2 – 0 Internacional de Bogota

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bucaramanga 57.8% 1.73 +8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 64.9% 1.54 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.3% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Bucaramanga win 42.8% 2.34 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bucaramanga57.8%
Draw24.5%
Internacional de Bogota17.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes64.9%
No35.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.3%
12 (either side)75.5%
X2 (draw or away)42.2%
Handicap -1Bucaramanga win42.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss36.4%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.3%
1-18.4%
2-07.7%

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota stats

Bucaramanga and Internacional de Bogota recent form

newest first
Bucaramanga DWDDWD
Internacional de Bogota LWDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bucaramanga and Internacional de Bogota going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bucaramanga record

  • They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Internacional de Bogota record

  • They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Bucaramanga wins 3Draws 2Internacional de Bogota wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-14Internacional de BogotaBucaramangaPrimera A0-0
2025-11-09BucaramangaInternacional de BogotaPrimera A2-1
2025-05-17Internacional de BogotaBucaramangaPrimera A1-4
2024-09-28Internacional de BogotaBucaramangaPrimera A0-1
2024-03-16BucaramangaInternacional de BogotaPrimera A4-0
2023-10-25BucaramangaInternacional de BogotaPrimera A2-3
2023-05-13Internacional de BogotaBucaramangaPrimera A1-0
2022-10-16BucaramangaInternacional de BogotaPrimera A3-1
2022-05-11BucaramangaInternacional de BogotaCopa Colombia0-0
2022-04-30Internacional de BogotaBucaramangaPrimera A1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 26.2%, away 18.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.66 3.54 5.13
Bet365 1.65 3.50 5.50
BetVictor 1.65 3.60 5.00
Betano 1.72 3.70 5.80
Betfair 1.67 3.70 5.00
Marathonbet 1.64 3.54 5.15
Pinnacle 1.68 3.73 5.32
SBO 1.61 3.28 4.46
William Hill 1.67 3.50 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.66 ▼ -0.03
X 3.54 ▲ +0.09
2 5.13 ▲ +0.16

12 snapshots recorded, from .