Primera A
·
Full time
·Clausura - 11
Fortaleza FC
vs
Junior
1 – 4 Full time
| 17′ | Jhon Solis | ||
| 19′ | Jermein Pena | ||
| 24′ | A. Mosquera | ||
| 26′ | Teófilo Gutiérrez | ||
| 46′ | Francisco Fydriszewski | ||
| 48′ | Déiber Caicedo | ||
| 53′ | Francisco Fydriszewski | ||
| 54′ | Mariano VázquezSantiago Cuero | ||
| 54′ | A. MosqueraDavid Esteban Ramirez Pisciotti | ||
| 60′ | Francisco FydriszewskiGuillermo Paiva | ||
| 62′ | Juan Sebastian HerreraFranco Pulicastro | ||
| 62′ | Santiago Vivas VélezJordan Garcia | ||
| 65′ | Yesid Díaz | ||
| 69′ | Déiber CaicedoCristian Barrios | ||
| 69′ | Teófilo GutiérrezYimmi Chará | ||
| 80′ | Sebastian Navarro | ||
| 80′ | Sebastian NavarroBrandón Andrés Mejía Fajardo | ||
| 83′ | Jermein PenaAndrés Shmalbach | ||
| 83′ | Fabian BernalJuan David Ríos | ||
| 88′ | Santiago Cuero |
Fortaleza FC
39%
Draw
28%
Junior
33%
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 41 | Possession % | 59 |
| 2 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 274 | Accurate passes | 431 |
Fortaleza FC vs Junior overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortaleza FC vs Junior
| Probability | Fortaleza FC | Draw | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.4% | 24.9% | 21.7% |
| Market | 33.6% | 29.2% | 37.1% |
| Final | 38.6% | 28.1% | 33.3% |
| Edge | +19.7% | -4.3% | -15.4% |
Why Fortaleza FC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.12.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Fortaleza FC below the model: +19.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
57%
No goals
6%
Fortaleza FC and Junior expected goals
Fortaleza FC
1.85
Junior
1.12
Total expected goals: 2.96
Fortaleza FC and Junior attack and defence ratings
Fortaleza FC
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.10 +10%
Junior
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
1.29 +29%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortaleza FC vs Junior: result vs prediction
Fortaleza FC 1 – 4 Junior
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Clausura - 11 fixtures
- Águilas Doradas vs Deportivo Pereira — team news & stats
- Millonarios v Chico — match page
- Alianza Valledupar vs Santa Fe — team news & stats
- Deportivo Cali vs Cucuta
- Deportivo Pasto v Once Caldas — match page
- Bucaramanga vs Internacional de Bogota
- Deportes Tolima v America de Cali — match page
- Llaneros vs Atletico Nacional — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Fortaleza FC vs Junior markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza FC | 38.6% | 2.59 | +19.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortaleza FC | 38.6% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Junior | 33.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.7% |
| No | 42.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortaleza FC win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.8% |
Fortaleza FC vs Junior stats
Fortaleza FC and Junior recent form
| Fortaleza FC |
DDLDLW |
| Junior |
LDDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortaleza FC and Junior going into this match
Fortaleza FC record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Junior record
- They have won 13 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 7 of 8 penalties (88%).
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortaleza FC vs Junior head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Fortaleza FC wins
1Draws
4Junior wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | Junior | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Fortaleza FC | Junior | Primera A | 1-1 |
| 2025-05-16 | Junior | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-17 | Junior | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-11 | Fortaleza FC | Junior | Primera A | 2-0 |
| 2016-09-11 | Junior | Fortaleza FC | Primera A | 1-2 |
| 2016-04-03 | Fortaleza FC | Junior | Primera A | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fortaleza FC vs Junior odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.6%, draw 29.2%, away 37.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.76 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 3.25 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.76 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.85 | 3.18 | 2.61 |
| SBO | 2.58 | 2.99 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.50 |