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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 11

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali

1 – 1 Full time

21′Yani Quintero
22′S. Aguayo
26′Yeison Guzmán
37′Jhon Murillo
41′Rafael Carrascal
42′Josen Escobar
45′Tomás ÁngelMarcos Mina
60′Ever ValenciaLuis Sandoval
61′Juan Montoya
63′Josen EscobarJosé Cavadia
63′Yeison GuzmánJhon Palacios
70′Adrián ParraJorge Hurtado
80′Cristian ArrietaSebastian Guzman
80′S. AguayoKelvin Flórez
89′Jhon PalaciosEdson Tortolero
90′Kelvin Flórez
90′Luis Sandoval

Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, IwagReferee: Wilmar Roldan

Deportes Tolima 35%
Draw 30%
America de Cali 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

28 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 1
67 Possession % 33
9 Corners 2
10 Fouls 4
3 Offsides 3
0 Saves 7
520 Accurate passes 211

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportes TolimaDrawAmerica de Cali
Model20.9%29.7%49.4%
Market39.8%30.4%29.9%
Final35.0%30.2%34.8%
Edge-18.8%-0.7%+19.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportes Tolim ↓ / America de Cal → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 14% 11% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Deportes Tolima and America de Cali expected goals

Deportes Tolima 0.83
America de Cali 1.42

Total expected goals: 2.25

Deportes Tolima and America de Cali attack and defence ratings

Deportes Tolima

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.06 +6%

America de Cali

Attack 1.35 +35%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali: result vs prediction

Deportes Tolima 1 – 1 America de Cali

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 11 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportes Tolima 35.0% 2.85 -18.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 55.9% 1.79 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 69.8% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 79.1% 1.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportes Tolima35.0%
Draw30.2%
America de Cali34.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.1%
Under 2.560.9%
Both teams to scoreYes44.1%
No55.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.2%
12 (either side)69.8%
X2 (draw or away)65.0%
Handicap -1Deportes Tolima win7.0%
Push (exactly one goal)13.9%
Loss79.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
0-113.7%
0-011.8%

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali stats

Deportes Tolima and America de Cali recent form

newest first
Deportes Tolima LLWWLD
America de Cali LWDWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportes Tolima and America de Cali going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportes Tolima record

  • They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 8 penalties (75%).

America de Cali record

  • They have won 16 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 30 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Deportes Tolima wins 3Draws 3America de Cali wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-15America de CaliDeportes TolimaPrimera A1-1
2025-08-09America de CaliDeportes TolimaPrimera A0-1
2025-06-12America de CaliDeportes TolimaPrimera A1-3
2025-06-07Deportes TolimaAmerica de CaliPrimera A1-1
2025-02-24Deportes TolimaAmerica de CaliPrimera A0-0
2024-12-01America de CaliDeportes TolimaPrimera A4-2
2024-11-27Deportes TolimaAmerica de CaliPrimera A1-0
2024-09-11America de CaliDeportes TolimaPrimera A1-0
2024-02-01Deportes TolimaAmerica de CaliPrimera A2-1
2023-07-16America de CaliDeportes TolimaPrimera A1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 30.4%, away 29.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.35 2.99 3.13
Bet365 2.35 3.20 3.20
BetVictor 2.30 3.10 3.10
Betano 2.35 3.05 3.15
Betfair 2.30 3.25 3.00
Marathonbet 2.33 2.99 3.10
Pinnacle 2.40 3.08 3.27
SBO 2.23 2.92 2.78
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.10

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▼ -0.17
X 3.05 ▼ -0.03
2 3.10 ▲ +0.30

12 snapshots recorded, from .