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Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 12

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas

1 – 0 Full time

3′Javier Alexander Mena
9′Rafael Carrascal
25′Frank Lozano
27′Yeison Guzmán
58′Mateo CastilloYani Quintero
58′Jhon MurilloLuis Quiñones
65′Andres RicaurteRicardo Marquez
65′Juan Esteban·Avalo TrejosJunior Noguera
67′Marcos Mina
72′Eduar Arley Arízalas Tenorio
74′Jan LucumiJhon Palacios
78′Eduar Arley Arízalas TenorioFabián Suárez
81′Alberto Mario Higgins TejeraMatías Ramírez
84′Ricardo Marquez
86′Rafael CarrascalCristian Tovar
86′Yeison GuzmánDaniel Valencia
90′Josen Escobar

Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de CaliReferee: Jairo Londono

America de Cali 61%
Draw 23%
Águilas Doradas 15%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 1
54 Possession % 46
11 Corners 1
16 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
1 Saves 4
339 Accurate passes 355

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas overview

Garuda Lions analysis: America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAmerica de CaliDrawÁguilas Doradas
Model70.7%18.7%10.6%
Market58.2%24.9%16.9%
Final61.3%23.3%15.4%
Edge+12.5%-6.2%-6.3%

Confidence: Low

Why America de Cali

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.37 vs 0.83.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices America de Cali below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

America de Cal ↓ / Águilas Dorada → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 9% 2 11% 10% 3 9% 8% 4+ 9% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

America de Cali and Águilas Doradas expected goals

America de Cali 2.37
Águilas Doradas 0.83

Total expected goals: 3.20

America de Cali and Águilas Doradas attack and defence ratings

America de Cali

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.75 -25%

Águilas Doradas

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas: result vs prediction

America de Cali 1 – 0 Águilas Doradas

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 America de Cali 61.3% 1.63 +12.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.1% 1.92 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.6% 1.18 — —
Handicap -1 America de Cali win 48.7% 2.06 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2America de Cali61.3%
Draw23.3%
Águilas Doradas15.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.1%
No47.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.6%
12 (either side)76.7%
X2 (draw or away)38.7%
Handicap -1America de Cali win48.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss29.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.4%
2-19.5%
3-09.0%

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas stats

America de Cali and Águilas Doradas recent form

newest first
America de Cali DLWDWD
Águilas Doradas DLDDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

America de Cali and Águilas Doradas going into this match

league record before kick-off

America de Cali record

  • They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 8 of 8 penalties (100%).
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Águilas Doradas record

  • They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5America de Cali wins 2Draws 3Águilas Doradas wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-20Águilas DoradasAmerica de CaliPrimera A0-1
2025-07-27America de CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A2-1
2025-04-30Águilas DoradasAmerica de CaliPrimera A0-1
2024-07-16Águilas DoradasAmerica de CaliPrimera A1-2
2024-01-21America de CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A0-1
2023-09-20Águilas DoradasAmerica de CaliPrimera A2-2
2023-04-12America de CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-3
2022-11-30America de CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A1-1
2022-11-05Águilas DoradasAmerica de CaliPrimera A2-0
2022-08-10America de CaliÁguilas DoradasPrimera A2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

America de Cali vs Águilas Doradas odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.2%, draw 24.9%, away 16.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.59 3.74 5.46
Bet365 1.62 3.70 5.75
BetVictor 1.60 3.70 5.25
Betano 1.65 3.95 6.00
Betfair 1.60 3.80 5.50
Marathonbet 1.57 3.74 5.50
Pinnacle 1.60 3.84 5.84
SBO 1.60 3.37 4.42
William Hill 1.60 3.50 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.60 ▼ -0.05
X 3.74 ▲ +0.16
2 5.50 ▲ +0.30

6 snapshots recorded, from .