Primera A · Full time ·Clausura - 12

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali

0 – 1 Full time

30′Leyser Chaverra Renteria
38′Eduard Bello
59′Alexis ZapataMaximiliano Lovera
64′Juan Dinenno
65′Juan DinennoSteven Rodríguez
66′Jhojan TorresKilian Toscano
74′Jader ObrianLuis Palacios
74′Victor MorenoNahuel Bustos
74′Christian MaflaJeison Angulo
75′Johan MartinezAlexis Castillo Manyoma
76′Eduard BelloEmanuel Reynoso
76′Kilian Toscano
87′Daniel Torres
88′Daniel GiraldoJose Moya
90′Franco Fagúndez

Estadio El Campin, BogotaReferee: Alejandro Moncada Sanchez

Santa Fe 43%
Draw 30%
Deportivo Cali 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 4
55 Possession % 45
9 Corners 3
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 5
405 Accurate passes 334

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySanta FeDrawDeportivo Cali
Model42.0%30.8%27.1%
Market43.2%29.9%26.9%
Final42.9%30.1%27.0%
Edge-1.2%+1.0%+0.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Santa Fe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.98.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Santa Fe ↓ / Deportivo Cali → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali expected goals

Santa Fe 1.28
Deportivo Cali 0.98

Total expected goals: 2.26

Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali attack and defence ratings

Santa Fe

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Deportivo Cali

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.77 -23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali: result vs prediction

Santa Fe 0 – 1 Deportivo Cali

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Clausura - 12 fixtures

Primera A

Before and after this match

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Santa Fe 42.9% 2.33 -1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.6% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score No 53.5% 1.87 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.0% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.0% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Santa Fe42.9%
Draw30.1%
Deportivo Cali27.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.4%
Under 2.560.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.5%
No53.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.0%
12 (either side)69.9%
X2 (draw or away)57.1%
Handicap -1Santa Fe win19.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss58.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.4%
1-012.0%
0-011.7%

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali stats

Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali recent form

newest first
Santa Fe WLWDDW
Deportivo Cali WWDDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Santa Fe and Deportivo Cali going into this match

league record before kick-off

Santa Fe record

  • They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 5 penalties (100%).

Deportivo Cali record

  • They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Santa Fe wins 2Draws 1Deportivo Cali wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-19Deportivo CaliSanta FePrimera A1-1
2025-11-10Santa FeDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-0
2025-05-17Deportivo CaliSanta FePrimera A0-2
2024-08-21Deportivo CaliSanta FePrimera A1-3
2024-02-14Santa FeDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-0
2023-09-07Deportivo CaliSanta FePrimera A2-2
2023-08-16Santa FeDeportivo CaliCopa Colombia1-0
2023-07-28Deportivo CaliSanta FeCopa Colombia2-1
2023-03-22Santa FeDeportivo CaliPrimera A3-0
2022-10-22Santa FeDeportivo CaliPrimera A1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Santa Fe vs Deportivo Cali odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.2%, draw 29.9%, away 26.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.16 3.06 3.45
Bet365 2.15 3.20 3.50
BetVictor 2.10 3.13 3.40
Betano 2.15 3.15 3.45
Betfair 2.10 3.25 3.50
Marathonbet 2.14 3.06 3.42
Pinnacle 2.20 3.11 3.61
SBO 1.97 2.88 3.17
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.04
X 3.11 ▲ +0.06
2 3.45 ▼ -0.13

5 snapshots recorded, from .